TABLE 2—
Multivariable Associations of Pedestrian Fatalities With Historical Redlining, Census Tract‒Level Demographic Factors: Fatality Analysis Reporting System, United States, 2010–2019
Model 1,a IRR (95% CI) | Model 2,b IRR (95% CI) | Model 3,c IRR (95% CI) | |
HOLC grade | |||
A (green)—“Best” | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) |
B (blue)—“Still Desirable” | 1.38 (1.20, 1.60) | 1.49 (1.29, 1.72) | 1.49 (1.29, 1.72) |
C (yellow)—“Definitely Declining” | 1.71 (1.50, 1.96) | 1.84 (1.61, 2.11) | 1.84 (1.61, 2.11) |
D (red)—“Hazardous” | 2.33 (2.03, 2.68) | 2.59 (2.25, 2.99) | 2.60 (2.26, 2.99) |
Model goodness of fit QICd | 2705.22 | 3077.49 | 3046.04 |
Note. CI = confidence interval; HOLC = Home Owners’ Loan Corporation; IRR = incidence rate ratio; QIC = quasi likelihood under independence model criterion. Full descriptions of HOLC grades are in Figure A, available as a supplement to the online version of this article at https://ajph.org.
Unadjusted, HOLC grade only.
Fully adjusted for gender, age > 18 years, age > 65 years, and population density per 1000.
Final model adjusted for age > 65 years and population density per 1000.
The lowest goodness-of-fit statistic determines the best model.