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. 2023 Feb 9;16(3):250–256. doi: 10.1038/s41561-023-01125-2

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 1 — Estimated from the evaporative fraction (S_dEF). Blue areas (‘flattening’) show grid cells where a significant reduction in the slope in EF vs. CWD was identified beyond a certain threshold. Red lines show outlines of major irrigated areas, that is, where the irrigated land area fraction is above 30%³⁹. Blank grid cells indicate areas with a sustained imbalance of ET being greater than P.