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. 2021 Nov 16;1:718668. doi: 10.3389/frhs.2021.718668

Table 2.

Effects of different R-values on the characteristics of the expected occupancy probability.

Effective reproductions rate
(R)
Days from of peak for new infections to maximal NOR occupancy
(tpeakNORtpeakI)
Relative increase of NOR occupancy after peak of new infections
(OmaxNOR/OtpeakINOR)
Days from of peak for new infections to maximal ICU occupancy
(tpeakICUtpeakI)
Relative increase of ICU occupancy after peak of new infections
(OmaxICU/OtpeakIICU)
1.1 5 1.1 6 1.1
1.5 6 1.2 9 1.3
2.0 7 1.3 10 1.5
2.5 7 1.3 10 1.4
3.0 8 1.4 11 1.5
3.5 8 1.5 11 1.6
4.0 8 1.5 11 1.7

Several key numbers of the expected occupancy were derived from the following numbers: day of maximal number of new infections (tpeakI), maximal number of new infections (Imax), day and amount of maximal number of normal ward (NOR) occupancy (tpeakNOR), (OmaxNOR) and day and amount of maximal number of intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy (tpeakICU), (OmaxICU). From these values, the time from maximal daily infections to the day of maximal NOR and ICU occupancy, i.e., tpeakNOR-tpeakI and tpeakICU-tpeakI, was calculated and listed together with the corresponding relative increase of NOR and ICU occupancy after peak of new infections (OmaxNOR/OtpeakINOR) and (OmaxICU/OtpeakIICU).