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. 2023 Mar 16;21:97. doi: 10.1186/s12916-023-02802-0

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 3 — Model parameter estimates on SARS-CoV-2 transmission. A average daily missed imported infections in log scale, B effectiveness of contact tracing in detecting a linked case, ϵ_ct, C effectiveness of case finding in detecting an unlinked case, ϵ_cf. Reproduction number for wild-type SARS-CoV-2 in 2020 (D–F) and Delta variant in 2021 (G–I). D, G R or R_m, of a missed COVID-19 case, E, H R_n, of a notified COVID-19 case, and F, I effective reproduction number, R_eff. Estimates of the posterior median (dot), 50% CrI (dark vertical lines) and 95% CrI (light vertical lines) as shown