Table 1. Values of the seven parameters of our model defined by Formula 4 according to 20 scenarios to manage the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic, together with the resulting reproduction number R characterizing the spread of the disease.

Scenario	P	D	C	C3	N1	N2	N3	R
A Baseline (Switzerland)	0	7	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	2.21
B China	0	7	0.027	0.081	1.19	8.40	2.65	3.32
C India	0	7	0.027	0.081	1.19	8.40	4.79	4.53
D Senegal	0	7	0.027	0.081	1.19	8.40	12.30	8.79
E Quarantine (30 persons)	0	7	0.027	0.081	0.00	0.00	29.00	16.44
F Quarantine (10 persons)	0	7	0.027	0.081	0.00	0.00	9.00	5.10
G Seasonal variations	0	7	0.009	0.027	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.74
H Barrier gestures	0	7	0.014	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	1.48
I Isolation of patient	0	5	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	1.58
J Isolation & contact tracing	0	3	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.95
K Ban of mass events	0	7	0.027	0.081	0.00	7.06	1.21	2.02
L Semi-containment	0	7	0.027	0.122	0.00	3.53	1.21	1.70
M Full-containment	0	7	0.027	0.162	0.00	0.00	1.21	1.37
N Mixture of measures (H+I+K)	0	5	0.014	0.081	0.00	7.06	1.21	0.98
O Self-testing (100% sensitivity)	0	1	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.32
P Self-testing (60% sensitivity)	0	3.4	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	1.07
Q Vaccination start	0.33	7	0.014	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.99
R Herd immunity	0.55	7	0.027	0.081	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.99
S New variant	0.78	7	0.054	0.162	1.00	7.06	1.21	0.97
T New resistant variant	0.55	7	0.054	0.162	1.00	7.06	1.21	1.99

Parameters

P = prevalence of immunized people, D = duration of the contagion (days), C = contagiousness (probability of contamination during a contact with a carrier), C₃ = contagiousness in households. N₁ = average number of contacts per day during indoor mass events, N₂ = average number of contacts per day during public indoor activities, N₃ = average number of contacts per day in households.

In bold the parameter values that are different from the baseline scenario (Scenario A).

Underlined, the R-values that are less than one.