Table 5.
Variables of change (2015–2010) | Stratified analysis by baseline population | Stratified analysis by baseline EBSMRs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Population < 10,000 | Population ≥ 10,000 | EBSMR < 100 | EBSMR ≥ 100 | |||||||
(n = 470) | (n = 1131) | |||||||||
Coefb | P-value | Coefb | P-value | (n) | Coefb | P-value | (n) | Coefb | P-value | |
EBSMRs in malesa | ||||||||||
All causes of death | -1.81 | 0.009 | -1.00 | 0.026 | (780) | 0.20 | 0.638 | (821) | -1.90 | 0.001 |
Malignant neoplasms | -2.41 | 0.005 | 0.02 | 0.966 | (960) | -0.23 | 0.668 | (641) | -1.59 | 0.015 |
Heart disease in males | 1.61 | 0.371 | -0.38 | 0.676 | (745) | 1.16 | 0.188 | (856) | -0.88 | 0.541 |
Cerebrovascular disease | -2.18 | 0.321 | -2.21 | 0.065 | (755) | 1.09 | 0.335 | (846) | -2.43 | 0.128 |
EBSMRs in femalesa | ||||||||||
All causes of death | -0.96 | 0.309 | -0.31 | 0.536 | (844) | -0.95 | 0.084 | (757) | -0.36 | 0.624 |
Malignant neoplasms | -0.13 | 0.906 | 0.88 | 0.126 | (1120) | 0.47 | 0.442 | (481) | -0.30 | 0.715 |
Heart disease | -1.83 | 0.341 | -0.91 | 0.352 | (800) | -2.09 | 0.040 | (801) | -0.18 | 0.909 |
Cerebrovascular disease | -2.57 | 0.283 | -1.53 | 0.203 | (808) | -0.86 | 0.443 | (793) | -0.52 | 0.780 |
Coef Coefficient, EBSMR Empirical Bayes estimate of standardized mortality ratio, PHN Public health nurse
a Dependent variables
b Coefficients of PHNs per 100,000 population (logarithmic transformed) which are adjusted for random effects by prefecture and fixed effects by change of the number of population (logarithmic transformed) and healthcare resources per 100,000 population (2015–2010): physicians, medical clinics, general hospitals in a secondary healthcare area, and welfare facilities for the elderly requiring long-term care