Table 1.

Fitted parameters of the Briére2 model (Equation 2) characterizing fungal load and UV fluorescence depending on temperature. 95 % confidence intervals for parameter estimates are given in square brackets. $\widetilde{Pd}$ – surface fungal colonization, measured as fungal DNA load estimated by qPCR from a wing swab, n_UV – number of UV fluorescent skin lesions diagnostic for WNS counted from wing membrane photographs trans-illuminated over a Wood’s lamp, w – species-specific wing membrane area, T – body surface temperature of a hibernating bat, MAST – mean annual surface temperature at the sampling site.

Variable		Briére2 model parameters
dependent	independent	b1	b2	b3	b4	b5
${log}_{10}\left(\widetilde{Pd}/w\right)$	T	9.3 × 10−9 [−7.3 × 10−8, 9.1 × 10−8]	1.519 [−1.4,4.5]	19.8*	0.163 [0.07,0.25]	−5.19 [−7.1,-3.3]
${log}_{10}\left(\widetilde{Pd}/w\right)$	MAST	1.0 × 10−2 [9.2 × 10−4, 1.9 × 10−2]	−3.259 [−4.2,-2.3]	9.8 [8.8,10.8]	0.767 [0.48,1.05]	−5.24 [−5.6,-4.8]
${log}_{10}\left(n_{UV}/w\right)$	T	7.3 × 10−9 [−1.3 × 10−7, 1.5 × 10−7]	0.042 [−1.2,1.2]	19.8*	0.174 [−0.05,0.40]	−1.14 [−2.6,2.7]
${log}_{10}\left(n_{UV}/w\right)$	MAST	5.4 × 10−3 [1.2 × 10−3, 9.6 × 10−3]	−1.862 [−3.6,-0.1]	9.1 [8.1,10.0]	0.830 [0.47,1.19]	−1.02 [−1.3,-0.8]

* Parameter fixed according to Verant, Boyles [34].