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. 2023 Mar 18;13:4474. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-31614-8

Table 2.

Epidemic impact with the threshold Θ=500.

Θ=500
χ=0.8 χ=0.9 χ=1
κ=1 0.20 [0.20, 0.20] 0.73 [0.73, 0.73] 2.13 [2.13, 2.14] Imax%
κ=0.5 0.20 [0.20, 0.20] 0.73 [0.73, 0.73] 2.13 [2.13, 2.14]
κ=0.1 0.20 [0.20, 0.20] 0.73 [0.73, 0.73] 2.11 [2.11, 2.11]
κ=1 6.19 [6.17, 6.20] 21.98 [21.97, 22.00] 37.13 [37.11, 37.15] R()%
κ=0.5 6.19 [6.17, 6.20] 21.98 [21.96, 21.99] 37.13 [37.12, 37.14]
κ=0.1 6.17 [6.16, 6.19] 21.99 [21.97, 22.00] 37.12 [37.11, 37.14]
κ=1 100 [100, 100] 100 [100, 100] 100 [100, 100] D()%
κ=0.5 100 [100, 100] 100 [100, 100] 100 [100, 100]
κ=0.1 100[100, 100] 100 [100, 100] 100 [100, 100]

Average values as a percentage of the total population N for Imax and R(), and as a percentage of the size of the system V for the locked districts D(), together with 95% confidence interval in brackets for selected scenarios of values of (κ,χ) under Θ=500. NRS gives Imax=2.15 [2.15,2.15], R()=37.14 [37.12, 37.16] and full invasion.