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. 2023 Mar 14;11(4):e597–e605. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00056-6

Table 3.

Private expenditure averted from public financing of 18 essential maternal, newborn, and child health interventions in Nigeria, disaggregated by income quintile (2019–30)

2020 2025 2030 Total (2019–30) Proportion of total private expenditure averted, %
Uniform scale-up scenario*
Household wealth quintile
1 (poorest) 4·76 23·94 63·38 314·78 17·8%
2 5·33 27·08 71·78 350·00 19·8%
3 7·20 36·25 69·83 425·07 24·0%
4 9·15 42·37 58·64 429·50 24·3%
5 (wealthiest) 8·39 23·84 30·31 248·68 14·1%
National 34·82 153·47 293·93 1768·03 NA
Pro-poor targeted scale-up scenario*
Household wealth quintile
1 (poorest) 9·57 54·75 127·16 663·48 29·4%
2 8·62 45·77 112·50 588·16 26·1%
3 8·60 43·68 78·20 492·63 21·8%
4 7·29 35·63 54·72 370·24 16·4%
5 (wealthiest) 3·36 13·23 19·90 140·91 6·3%
National 37·43 193·06 392·48 2255·41 NA

See panel for details of which interventions applied to under-5 deaths and which applied to maternal deaths. Data are US$ million (2018 Central Bank of Nigeria rates), unless otherwise stated. NA=not applicable.

*

Estimates represent the difference between the specified scenario and the status quo scenario; for each scenario, private expenditure averted was estimated as the difference between the estimated private expenditure in the index year and the estimated private expenditure in the baseline year (2018).

Quintiles were defined at the beginning of the analysis period (2018) and the population was considered as a cohort between 2018 and 2030—ie, individuals maintained their quintiles during the period of interest (2018–30).