Table 3.
Predictive Power of the SI, rSIG, and NEWS to Predict ESI Levels 1–2
Prediction Tool | Cut-Off | Sens | Spec | PPV | NPV | LR+ | LR- | AuROC (95% CI) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SI | >0.8 | 37.5 | 78.9 | 82.6 | 32.1 | 1.78 | 0.79 | 0.582 (0.52–0.65) | <0.001 |
rSIG | <16 | 42.1 | 87.7 | 90.1 | 36.2 | 3.43 | 0.66 | 0.649 (0.59–0.70) | |
NEWS | >6 | 50.3 | 98.2 | 98.8 | 40.9 | 27.68 | 0.51 | 0.743 (0.70–0.79) |
Abbreviations: SI, shock index; rSIG, reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow coma scale; NEWS, national early warning score; ESI, emergency severity index; Sens, sensitivity; Spec, Specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; LR-, negative likelihood ratio; AuROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic; CI, confidence interval; P-value; probability value.