Table 2.
Core model characteristics.
| PMID | Author/year | Model type | Subtype | Implementation | Follow-up | Cycle time | M/F States | PHN | Other complications | HZ recurrence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29297049 | Le and Rothberg (2018)21 | Static | Markov | TreeAge Pro 2017 | Lifetime (120 YOA) | 1 yr | Yes | Yes | Monocular blindness, monaural deafness | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 29958739 | You et al. (2018)34 | Static | Markov | TreeAge Pro 2009 | 50 years | 1 mo | Yes | Yes | Central nervous system infection, Ramsay Hunt syndrome, secondary SSTI, HZ ophthalmicus, disseminated HZ | No recurrence |
| 30017145 | Curran et al. (2018)22 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular, neurological, cutaneous, other non-pain | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 29987323 | Le and Rothberg (2018b)27 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | Yes | Yes | Monocular blindness, monaural deafness | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 30518427 | de Boer et al. (2018)29 | Static | Markov | Excel | 15 years | 1 yr | No | No | No | No recurrence |
| 30130448 | Van Oorschot et al. (2019)26 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular, neurological, cutaneous, other non-pain | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 30625011 | Curran et al. (2019)23 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular, neurological, cutaneous, other non-pain | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 30608953 | You et al. (2019)35 | Static | Markov | TreeAge Pro 2009 | Lifetime (100 YOA) | 1 mo | Yes | Yes | Central nervous system infection, Ramsay Hunt syndrome, secondary SSTI, HZ ophthalmicus, disseminated HZ | One-time only |
| 30776797 | Prosser et al. (2019)24 | Static | Markov | TreeAgo Pro 2017 | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular, neurological, cosmetic | Yes, cumulative rate applied |
| 30929219 | Shiragami et al. (2019)33 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Misc non-PHN | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 31153691 | Hoshi et al. (2019)32 | Static | Markov | TreeAge Pro 2018 | Lifetime (100 YOA) | 1 yr | No* (Yes in the input data) | Yes | No | One-time only |
| 31289726 | Carpenter et al. (2019)25 | Static | Markov | Excel | Lifetime (100 YOA) | 1 yr | No | Yes | Acute ocular | Yes, unlimited |
| 31451524 | Drolet et al. (2019)20 | Static | Markov | Not specified | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular | Unclear |
| 31250218 | McGirr et al. (2019)26 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | No (not reported) | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 34905463 | Curran et al. (2021)28 | Static | Markov | Excel/VBA | Lifetime | 1 yr | No | Yes | Ocular, neurological, cutaneous, other non-pain | Equal to first-time incidence |
| 35094374 | Pieters et al. (2022)30 | Static | Markov | R | Lifetime (103 YOA) | 1 yr | No | Yes | No | Unclear |
| NA | Ortega-Sanchez (2021)18 | GSK: Excel/VBA CDC: not reported |
Lifetime or 30 years | 1 yr | No | Yes | CDC: unclear | |||
| NA | Ultsch et al. (2017)19 | Static | Markov | R | Lifetime | 3 mo | Yes | Yes | No | Yes |
CDC: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; HZ: herpes zoster; M/F: male/female; Misc: miscellaneous; mo: month(s); NA: not applicable; PHN: post-herpetic neuralgia; PMID: PubMed identifier; SSTI: skin and soft tissue infection; VBA: Visual basic for applications; YOA: years of age; yr: year.