Table 3. Performance of Johansen Cointegration test, TTR/DTR/ITR-to-GDP.
1991 to 2020 | |||
---|---|---|---|
H0 H1 | Statistic | 5% critical value | Prob** |
I.TTR-GDP | |||
Trace test | |||
None* | 18.0636 | 20.2618 | 0.0976 |
At most 1* | 3.61459 | 9.16454 | 0.4725 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 | |||
Max-eigenvalue test | |||
None* | 14.44902 | 15.8921 | 0.0831 |
At most 1* | 3.61459 | 9.16454 | 0.4725 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 | |||
II.DTR-GDP | |||
Trace test | |||
None* | 24.5416 | 20.2618 | 0.0121 |
At most 1* | 7.6901 | 9.1645 | 0.0945 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 | |||
Max-eigenvalue test | |||
None* | 16.8515 | 15.8921 | 0.0353 |
At most 1* | 7.6901 | 9.1645 | 0.0945 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 | |||
III.ITR-GDP | |||
Trace test | |||
None* | 24.5416 | 20.2618 | 0.0121 |
At most 1* | 7.6901 | 9.1645 | 0.0945 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 | |||
Max-eigenvalue test | |||
None* | 16.8515 | 15.8921 | 0.0353 |
At most 1* | 7.6901 | 9.1645 | 0.0945 |
γ = 0 γ≧1 |
Notes: γ denotes number of cointegrating equations; Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 significance level. Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 significance level.