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. 2023 Mar 17;10:1098231. doi: 10.3389/fnut.2023.1098231

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Number of diet-related NCD deaths that could be averted or delayed from implementing a ‘high in’ FOPL in Canada by disease. Potential diet-related NCD deaths that could be averted or delayed were estimated using the PRIME model (67). Inputs for the model included, (1) population demographics; (2) mortality data associated with diet-related NCDs (CVDs, diabetes, cancer, chronic renal failure, and liver disease) (2019), obtained from the publicly available Statistics Canada CANSIM tables (stratified by sex and 5-year age band) (91–96); and (3) baseline and counterfactual dietary intakes estimations using CCHS-Nutrition 2015 PUMF data (61, 63). Counterfactual scenario 1 and 2 were based on Taillie et al. (44). SCENARIO 1, overall changes: sodium (mg) –4.7%; sugars (g) –10.2%; saturated fat (g) –3.9%; and SCENARIO 2, disaggregated by foods: sodium (mg) –4.6%; sugars (g) –5.4%; saturated fat (g) –3.6%; and beverages: sodium (mg) –5.2%; sugars (g) –13.2%; saturated fat (g) –5.6%. Counterfactual scenario 3 was based on Acton et al. (40). SCENARIO 3, relative changes disaggregated by snack foods: sodium (mg) –6.3%; sugars (g) –0.1%; saturated fat (g) –6.5%; and beverages: sodium (mg) –5.5%; sugars (g) –8.7%;saturated fat (g) –19.5%. Counterfactual scenario 4 was based on Song et al. (41). SCENARIO 4, overall changes: sodium (mg) –7.8%; sugars (g) –7.3%; saturated fat (g) –16.3%.