Table 5.

Estimates of parameter of interest. Estimates (median and 95% credible interval) for the basic reproduction number ($R_0$), the probability an infected gpf would infect a gpm ($p$) and the probability an infected msm would infected another msm ($q$) for subtype CRF 02_AG, subtype C and combined analyses. $R_0$was calculated for 2014 and $p$ and $q$ was calculated for a period between 1978 and 2014.

	Subtype 02_AG	Subtype C	Subtypes combined
$R_0$(gp)	0.87 (0.53–1.80)	1.59 (0.67–2.91)	1.29 (0.73–2.06)
$R_0$(msm)	1.05 (0.52–2.82)	1.00 (0.54–2.13)	1.96 (0.77–3.41)
$p$	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	0.93 (0.85–0.98)	0.99 (0.99–1.00)
$q$	0.86 (0.73–0.95)	0.82 (0.72–0.89)	0.80 (0.67–0.88)