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. 2022 Oct 14;46(4):984–999. doi: 10.1038/s41440-022-01065-1

Table 5.

Role of the risk of vascular organ damage (subclinical atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis) on the cumulative effect of total fat mass, lean mass, and systolic blood pressure from 9–24 years on 7-year change in carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity and carotid intima-media thickness from ages 17 to 24 years

N = 3863 cfPWV progression (17–24 years)
Participants with <90th percentile cIMT (normal cIMT) Participants with ≥90th percentile cIMT (atherosclerosis)
Effect estimate (95% CI) p-value Effect estimate (95% CI) p-value
Cumulative Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category 0.004 (0.0004–0.007) 0.028 0.005 (−0.014–0.023) 0.608
High category 0.007 (0.003–0.011) 0.001 0.013 (−0.003–0.028) 0.102
Cumulative Lean mass (kg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category 0.001 (−0.003–0.005) 0.698 0.001 (−0.014–0.016) 0.903
High category 0.008 (0.002–0.014) 0.009 0.012 (−0.005–0.029) 0.152
Cumulative Total fat mass (kg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category 0.002 (−0.002–0.006) 0.229 0.002 (−0.009–0.014) 0.694
High category 0.003 (−0.002–0.009) 0.228 −0.003 (−0.020–0.014) 0.755
N = 3863 cIMT progression (17–24 years)
Participants with < 90th percentile cfPWV (Optimal stiffness) Participants with ≥ 90th percentile cfPWV (arteriosclerosis)
Effect estimate (95% CI) p-value Effect estimate (95% CI) p-value
Cumulative Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category 0.001 (−0.002–0.004) 0.523 0.008 (−0.003–0.020) 0.155
High category 0.008 (0.005–0.011) <0.0001 0.013 (0.001–0.025) 0.035
Cumulative Lean mass (kg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category 0.005 (0.002–0.008) <0.0001 0.0001 (−0.013–0.013) 0.987
High category 0.010 (0.005 – 0.013) <0.0001 0.002 (−0.012–0.017) 0.738
Cumulative Total fat mass (kg) (9–24 years)
Low category Reference Reference
Moderate category −0.001 (−0.004–0.003) 0.697 0.009 (−0.003–0.020) 0.130
High category 0.002 (−0.001–0.006) 0.214 0.001 (−0.012–0.013) 0.895

Model was adjusted for age at baseline, sex, time in years from baseline through follow-up, low-density lipoprotein, C-reactive protein, fasting blood glucose, moderate to vigorous physical activity at 24 years, smoking status, and family history of hypertension/diabetes/high cholesterol/vascular disease, in addition to fat mass, systolic blood pressure, and/or lean mass depending on the predictor

A 2-sided P-value < 0.05 (in bold) is considered statistically significant