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. 2023 Apr 6;6(4):e236795. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.6795

Table 2. Posttreatment Prognoses Across the 3 Therapy Groups and for Each Therapy Group.

IGA score at baseline Transition probability, mean (95% CI)
0-1 mo 1-12 mo
IGA 0/1 IGA 2 IGA 3 IGA 4 IGA 0/1 IGA 2 IGA 3 IGA 4
Overall
IGA 0/1 0.80 (0.78-0.82) 0.12 (0.10-0.13) 0.06 (0.05-0.08) 0.02 (0.01-0.03) 0.54 (0.51-0.57) 0.26 (0.23-0.28) 0.16 (0.14-0.17) 0.05 (0.04-0.06)
IGA 2 0.18 (0.17-0.19) 0.74 (0.73-0.75) 0.06 (0.06-0.07) 0.01 (0.01-0.02) 0.34 (0.33-0.35) 0.48 (0.47-0.50) 0.14 (0.13-0.15) 0.04 (0.03-0.04)
IGA 3 0.18 (0.17-0.19) 0.13 (0.12-0.13) 0.68 (0.66-0.68) 0.02 (0.02-0.02) 0.35 (0.34-0.36) 0.24 (0.23-0.25) 0.37 (0.36-0.38) 0.04 (0.03-0.04)
IGA 4 0.19 (0.18-0.21) 0.14 (0.13-0.15) 0.07 (0.06-0.08) 0.60 (0.58-0.61) 0.36 (0.34-0.37) 0.29 (0.28-0.31) 0.14 (0.12-0.15) 0.22 (0.20-0.23)
Traditional
IGA 0/1 0.83 (0.80-0.85) 0.10 (0.08-0.12) 0.05 (0.04-0.07) 0.02 (0.01-0.03) 0.61 (0.57-0.65) 0.19 (0.16-0.23) 0.15 (0.12-0.18) 0.05 (0.03-0.07)
IGA 2 0.15 (0.14-0.16) 0.78 (0.76-0.80) 0.05 (0.05-0.06) 0.01 (0.01-0.02) 0.31 (0.29-0.33) 0.54 (0.52-0.56) 0.12 (0.11-0.13) 0.04 (0.03-0.04)
IGA 3 0.15 (0.13-0.16) 0.10 (0.09-0.11) 0.74 (0.72-0.75) 0.02 (0.01-0.02) 0.30 (0.29-0.32) 0.20 (0.19-0.21) 0.47 (0.45-0.48) 0.03 (0.02-0.04)
IGA 4 0.17 (0.15-0.20) 0.12 (0.10-0.14) 0.03 (0.02-0.04) 0.67 (0.64-0.70) 0.33 (0.30-0.37) 0.23 (0.20-0.26) 0.12 (0.10-0.14) 0.31 (0.28-0.34)
Systemic
IGA 0/1 0.85 (0.81-0.89) 0.05 (0.03-0.07) 0.07 (0.04-0.09) 0.04 (0.01-0.06) 0.61 (0.56-0.66) 0.18 (0.14-0.22) 0.16 (0.12-0.20) 0.05 (0.03-0.07)
IGA 2 0.25 (0.23-0.27) 0.70 (0.68-0.72) 0.04 (0.03-0.05) 0.01 (0.00-0.01) 0.38 (0.36-0.41) 0.47 (0.45-0.49) 0.12 (0.11-0.14) 0.03 (0.02-0.03)
IGA 3 0.17 (0.15-0.18) 0.12 (0.11-0.13) 0.70 (0.68-0.71) 0.02 (0.01-0.02) 0.33 (0.31-0.34) 0.24 (0.23-0.26) 0.40 (0.38-0.42) 0.03 (0.03-0.04)
IGA 4 0.16 (0.14-0.19) 0.10 (0.08-0.12) 0.06 (0.04-0.07) 0.68 (0.65-0.71) 0.30 (0.28-0.33) 0.27 (0.24-0.29) 0.14 (0.12-0.16) 0.29 (0.26-0.32)
Biologic
IGA 0/1 0.73 (0.69-0.77) 0.20 (0.16-0.23) 0.08 (0.05-0.10) 0 0.41 (0.36-0.45) 0.39 (0.35-0.43) 0.16 (0.13-0.19) 0.04 (0.02-0.06)
IGA 2 0.15 (0.13-0.17) 0.73 (0.71-0.75) 0.10 (0.08-0.11) 0.02 (0.01-0.03) 0.34 (0.32-0.36) 0.43 (0.41-0.45) 0.18 (0.17-0.20) 0.05 (0.04-0.06)
IGA 3 0.23 (0.21-0.24) 0.16 (0.15-0.17) 0.59 (0.57-0.60) 0.03 (0.02-0.03) 0.42 (0.40-0.44) 0.29 (0.27-0.30) 0.25 (0.24-0.27) 0.04 (0.04-0.05)
IGA 4 0.23 (0.21-0.25) 0.18 (0.17-0.20) 0.10 (0.08-0.11) 0.49 (0.47-0.51) 0.41 (0.39-0.44) 0.34 (0.32-0.37) 0.14 (0.13-0.16) 0.10 (0.09-0.12)

Abbreviation: IGA, Investigator’s Global Assessment.