Table 6.
Summary of the performance for all preoperative models in predicting perioperative major morbidity
Ref.
|
Predictive model
|
Discrimination
|
Calibration
|
Outcome
|
Ferguson et al[45], 2011 | Amsterdam score | AUC = 0.653 | Not stated | Major morbidity |
Wright et al[33], 2009 | Original STS model | AUC = 0.621 | Not reported | Major morbidity or mortality |
Filip et al[36], 2015 | PNI multivariate | AUC = 0.80 | HL P value (0.67) | Major morbidity |
Raymond et al[37], 2016 | Revised STS model | AUC = 0.63 | Not reported | Major morbidity |
Saito et al[39], 2019 | PPCS model | AUC = 0.798 | Not reported | Major morbidity |
AUC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; HL: Hosmer-Lemeshow; O:E: Observed:expected ratio; PPCS: Predicting postoperative complications score; STS: Society of Thoracic Surgeons Oesophagectomy Composite Score; PNI: Prognostic nutritional index.