Table 7.
Summary of the performance for all preoperative models in predicting perioperative morbidity
|
Ref.
|
Predictive model
|
Discrimination
|
Calibration
|
Outcome
|
| Filip et al[36], 2015 | PNI | AUC = 0.65 | HL P value (0.85) | Morbidity |
| Filip et al[36], 2015 | CCI | AUC = 0.59 | Pearson P value (0.48) | Morbidity |
| Filip et al[36], 2015 | ACCI | AUC = 0.61 | Pearson P value (0.17) | Morbidity |
| Schröder et al[29], 2006 | Cologne score (2) | P value ≤ 0.001 | Not reported | Morbidity |
| Lindner et al[48], 2016 | P value = 0.010 | Not reported | Morbidity | |
| Lagarde et al[31], 2008 | Amsterdam score (4) | AUC = 0.65 | HL P value (0.366) | Morbidity |
| Grotenhuis et al[43], 2010 | AUC = 0.64 | HL P value (0.84) | Morbidity | |
| Ferguson et al[45], 2011 | AUC = 0.639 | Not stated | Morbidity | |
| Filip et al[36], 2015 | AUC = 0.60 | HL P value (0.55) | Morbidity | |
| Gray et al[53], 2020 | NSQIP SRC (3) | AUC = 0.553 | “Insufficient” | Morbidity |
| Peng et al[54], 2020 | AUC = 0.600 | O:E = 1.89 | Morbidity | |
| Ravindran et al[55], 2020 | AUC = 0.628 | Not reported | Morbidity | |
| Reeh et al[38], 2016 | PER score | P ≤ 0.001 | Not reported | Morbidity |
| Wan et al[41], 2022 | RAI-A | AUC = 0.54 | Not reported | Morbidity |
| Wan et al[41], 2022 | 5 Factor MFI | AUC = 0.57 | Not reported | Morbidity |
| Wan et al[41], 2022 | RAI-revised | AUC = 0.54 | Not reported | Morbidity |
| Wan et al[41], 2022 | RAI-revised (CC) | AUC = 0.51 | Not reported | Morbidity |
AUC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; HL: Hosmer-Lemeshow; O:E: Observed:expected ratio; CCI: Charlson comorbidity index; ACCI: Age-adjusted charlson comorbidity index; NSQIP SRC: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Surgical Risk Calculator; RAI-A: Administrative risk analysis index; PNI: Prognostic nutritional index; PER: Perioperative esophagectomy risk score.