Table 8.
Summary of the performance for all preoperative models in predicting respiratory complications, return to theatre, readmission and anastomotic leak
Ref.
|
Predictive model
|
Discrimination
|
Calibration
|
Outcome
|
Yamana et al[47], 2015 | PNI | AUC = 0.609 | Not reported | Respiratory complications |
Yamana et al[47], 2015 | GNRI | AUC = 0.651 | Not reported | Respiratory complications |
Ferguson et al[34], 2011 | Ferguson score (3) | AUC = 0.708 | HL P value (0.16) | Respiratory complications |
Reinersman et al[49], 2016 | AUC = 0.726 | HL P value (0.2394) | Respiratory complications | |
Xing et al[50], 2016 | AUC = 0.539 | Not reported | Respiratory complications | |
Gray et al[53], 2020 | NSQIP SRC (3) | AUC = 0.533 | Insufficient | Return to theatre |
AUC = 0.625 | Insufficient | Readmission | ||
Peng et al[54], 2020 | AUC = 0.558 | O:E = 0.48 | Return to theatre | |
AUC = 0.558 | O:E = 1.11 | Readmission | ||
Ravindran et al[55], 2020 | AUC = 0.584 | Not reported | Return to theatre | |
AUC = 0.767 | Not reported | Readmission | ||
Ohkura et al[40], 2020 | JNCD model | AUC = 0.531 | Not reported | Anastomotic leak |
AUC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; HL: Hosmer-Lemeshow; O:E: Observed:expected ratio; PNI: Prognostic nutritional index; GNRI: Geriatric nutritional risk index; NSQIP SRC: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Surgical Risk Calculator; JNCD: Japanese National Clinical Database.