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. 2023 Mar 23;2(1):e000302. doi: 10.1136/bmjmed-2022-000302

Table 2.

Observed versus expected vascular thrombotic events after vaccination with the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine in the Sisonke study, by sex and age

Observed count Person years Observed incidence rate per 100 000 person years (95% CI) Expected incidence rate per 100 000 person years (95% CI) Expected count Observed to expected ratio (95% CI)
Venous thromboembolism
Total No of pulmonary embolism events 11 94 743.07 11.61 (6.43 to 20.97) 74.0 (72.3 to 75.7) 70.11 0.16 (0.08 to 0.28)
Men:
 Aged 60-69 years 1 1677.95 59.60 (8.39 to 423.08) 151.3 (141.1 to 162.1) 2.54 0.39 (0.01 to 2.19)
Women:
 Aged 30-39 years 3 20 135.48 14.90 (4.81 to 46.20) 40.1 (35.4 to 45.2) 8.07 0.37 (0.08 to 1.09)
 Aged 40-49 years 4 21 204.73 18.86 (7.08 to 50.26) 50.1 (44.9 to 55.8) 10.62 0.38 (0.10 to 0.96)
 Aged 60-69 years 3 4137.99 72.50 (23.38 to 224.79) 134.9 (125.4 to 145.0) 5.58 0.54 (0.11 to 1.57)
Total No of deep vein thrombosis events 4 94 743.07 4.22 (1.58 to 11.25) 93.9 (92.0 to 95.9) 88.96 0.04 (0.01 to 0.12)
Women:
 Aged 20-29 years 1 9989.95 10.01 (1.41 to 71.06) 58.5 (52.4 to 65.2) 5.84 0.17 (0 to 0.95)
 Aged 30-39 years 2 20 135.48 9.93 (2.48 to 39.72) 71.8 (65.5 to 78.6) 14.46 0.14 (0.02 to 0.5)
 Aged 40-49 years 1 21 204.73 4.72 (0.66 to 33.48) 80.4 (73.7 to 87.5) 17.05 0.06 (0 to 0.33)
Total No of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis events 1 94 743.07 1.06 (0.15 to 7.49) 1.2 (1.0 to 1.5) 1.14 0.88 (0.02 to 4.9)
Women:
 Aged 30-39 years 1 20 135.48 4.97 (0.70 to 35.26) 1.8 (0.9 to 3.2) 0.36 2.76 (0.07 to 15.37)
Arterial thrombosis
Total No of ischaemic stroke events 5 94 743.07 5.28 (2.20 to 12.68) 29.6 (28.5 to 30.7) 28.04 0.18 (0.06 to 0.42)
Women:
 Aged 30-39 years 2 20 135.48 9.93 (2.48 to 39.72) 4.0 (2.6 to 5.8) 0.81 2.48 (0.30 to 8.97)
 Aged 40-49 years 2 21 204.73 9.43 (2.36 to 37.71) 8.2 (6.2 to 10.7) 1.74 1.15 (0.14 to 4.16)
 Aged 50-59 years 1 15 054.54 6.64 (0.94 to 47.16) 17.3 (14.4 to 20.7) 2.6 0.38 (0.01 to 2.14)
Total No of acute coronary syndrome events 2 94 743.07 2.11 (0.53 to 8.44) 138.8 (136.5 to 141.2) 131.5 0.02 (0 to 0.05)
Men:
 Aged 60-69 years 1 1677.95 59.60 (8.39 to 423.08) 437.2 (419.7 to 455.4) 7.34 0.14 (0 to 0.76)
Women:
 Aged 40-49 years 1 21 204.73 4.72 (0.66 to 33.48) 33.9 (29.7 to 38.7) 7.19 0.14 (0 to 0.78)
Vaccine induced immune thrombocytopenia and thrombosis
Total No of pulmonary embolism and thrombocytopenia events 1 94 743.07 1.06 (0.15 to 7.49) 0.9 (0.7 to 1.1) 0.85 1.17 (0.03 to 6.53)
Women:
 Aged 40-49 years 1 21 204.73 4.72 (0.66 to 33.48) 0.3 (0.1 to 0.8) 0.06 15.72 (0.4 to 87.58)
Total No of cerebral sinus venous thrombosis and thrombocytopenia events 1 94 743.07 1.06 (0.15 to 7.49) 0.1 (0.1 to 0.2) 0.09 10.55 (0.27 to 58.81)
Women:
 Aged 20-29 years 1 9989.98 10.01 (1.41 to 71.06)

CI=confidence interval.