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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Sep 15.
Published in final edited form as: J Affect Disord. 2022 Jun 25;313:1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2022.06.064

Table 3.

Three step hierarchical model predicting depression at Q1 follow-up

Step 1 (Baseline data) Step 2 (Passive Fitbit data) Step 3 (DD mood data)
z-score AOR (95% CI) z-score AOR (95% CI) z-score AOR (95% CI)

Pre SI 2.08* 1.84 (1.03, 3.28) 2.07* 1.84 (1.03, 3.30) 1.34 1.53 (0.82, 2.86)
Sex 2.01* 1.28 (1.01, 1.64) 1.97* 1.29 (1.00, 1.66) 1.53 1.23 (0.94, 1.60)
Pre PHQ-9 13.41*** 1.33 (1.28, 1.39) 13.44*** 1.33 (1.28, 1.39) 10.99*** 1.28 (1.22, 1.34)
Sleep Mean --- −2.03* 0.89 (0.79, 0.99) −1.95 0.89 (0.79, 1.00)
Sleep Variability --- 1.90 1.21 (0.99, 1.47) 0.99 1.11 (0.90, 1.36)
Steps Mean --- −0.57 0.98 (0.93, 1.04) −0.28 0.98 (0.93, 1.05)
Steps Variability --- −1.58 0.90 (0.80, 1.02) −1.50 0.91 (0.79, 1.03)
Mood Mean --- --- −8.60*** 0.57 (0.50, 0.65)
Mood Variability --- --- 4.07*** 1.79 (1.35, 2.38)
Model summary
 Overall χ2 χ2 (3) = 267.7, p <.001 χ2 (7) = 281.2, p <.001 χ2 (9) = 421.3, p <.001
 Step Δ --- χ2 (4) = 13.5, p = .009 χ2 (2) = 140.1, p < .001
 Nagelkerke R2 .187 .196 .285
 Overall AUC .738 .751 .799
 BIC 1824.3 1841.6 1717.0

Note.

*

p <.05

**

p <.01

***

p < .001. Depression as an outcome was indicated by a score of 10 or higher on the PHQ-9. Sleep variables were scaled to one hour, step variables were scaled to 1000 steps. DD = daily diary. Pre = Pre-internship. Q1 = Quarter 1 follow-up assessment. SI = Suicidal Ideation. PHQ-9 = Patient Health Questionnaire-9 score. AUC = Area Under the Curve. BIC = Bayesian Information Criterion.