Table 3.
Time point | Cutoff | AUC (95% CI) | Sensitivity/1 – specificity | PPV/NPV, % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Week 0 | 6 | 0.644 (0.518, 0.769) | 0.710/0.443 | 20.9/59.2 |
Week 6 | 2 | 0.711 (0.593, 0.829) | 0.552/0.190 | 66.7/75.3 |
Week 10 | 3 | 0.775 (0.671, 0.0.879) | 0.793/0.302 | 59.4/83.3 |
Week 14 | 3 | 0.860 (0.783, 0.937) | 0.897/0.302 | 64.5/85.2 |
Week 18 | 3 | 0.893 (0.831, 0.955) | 0.931/0.238 | 66.7/88.1 |
Week 22 | 3 | 0.899 (0.829, 0.969) | 0.931/0/159 | 75.0/87.5 |
The Euclidian index method used to estimate the cutoff value that optimizes the differentiating ability of MHs using the pMayo (or Mayo) score AUC > 0.8 was considered as “highly associated.” The positive and negative predictive values were also calculated together with the sensitivity and specificity. PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.