Table 4.

Moderated Mediation Model: Direct and Indirect Effects of Youth Race Moderating the Mediation of Vignette Risk Category on Sanction Decision Through Estimates of Probability of Recidivism for a Hypothetical Youth

Path	b	SE	95% CI	p
Risk category to sanction decision	−5.08	5.12	[–15.17, 5.00]	.32
Risk category to recidivism estimate	22.49	4.71	[–23.14, 20.22]	< .0001
Recidivism estimate to sanction decision	0.20	0.07	[0.06, 0.33]	.006
Youth race to sanction decision	−3.11	6.89	[–16.69, 10.47]
Youth race to recidivism estimate	0.44	6.67	[–12.72, 13.59]
Risk Category × Youth Race to sanction decision	2.11	2.94	[–3.67, 7.90]	.47
Risk Category × Youth Race to recidivism estimate	−2.45	2.84	[–8.04, 3.15]	.3896
Youth race
White	−2.97	2.65	[–8.20, 2.26]
Black	−0.86	2.26	[–5.32, 3.60]
Youth race: conditional indirect effect
White	3.98	1.32	[1.69, 6.92]
Black	3.50	1.11	[1.54, 5.80]

Note. CI = confidence interval.