Table 2.
Selected Simulation Results – Estimates of the frequency of missed opportunities and duration of delays using different simulation algorithms
| Stroke | AMI | Tuberculosis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Change Point (Start of diagnostic opportunity Window | 39 | 40 | 114 |
| Total Number of Missed Opportunities During Delay Window (% of SSD visits during delay window) | 41,577 (60.55%) | 117,344 (46.24%) | 6,444 (58.15%) |
| Percent of Patients Experiencing a Delay of at least 1 day (95% CI) | |||
| Naïve Approach | 7.46 (7.43–7.48) | 20.86 (20.81–20.91) | 78.11 (77.33–78.87) |
| Dense Delays Approach | 6.93 (6.91–6.96) | 18.01 (17.96–18.07) | 63.90 (62.81–65.03) |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 8.29 (8.28–8.31) | 24.08 (24.04–24.11) | 82.28 (81.96–82.59) |
| Mean Number of Missed Opportunities among Patients Missed (95% CI) | |||
| Naïve Approach | 1.52 (1.51–1.52) | 1.56 (1.56–1.57) | 3.98 (3.94–4.02) |
| Dense Delays Approach | 1.63 (1.62–1.64) | 1.81 (1.81–1.82) | 4.87 (4.78–4.95) |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 1.36 (1.36–1.37) | 1.36 (1.35–1.36) | 3.78 (3.76–3.79) |
| Mean Duration (days) of Missed Opportunities among Patients Missed (95% CI) | |||
| Naïve Approach | 7.41 (7.38–7.44) Days | 8.10 (8.08–8.12) Days | 39.86 (39.31–40.37) Days |
| Dense Delays Approach | 6.72 (6.67–6.76) Days | 6.69 (6.64–6.73) Days | 34.35 (33.52–35.15) Days |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 7.64 (7.63–7.66) Days | 8.21 (8.20–8.22) Days | 44.47 (44.16–44.75) Days |
| Percent of Missed Opportunities in Outpatient Settings | |||
| Naïve Approach | 62.64 (62.42–62.88) | 75.99 (75.84–76.14) | 89.23 (88.83–89.66) |
| Dense Delays Approach | 63.04 (62.80–63.30) | 76.55 (76.39–76.72) | 90.25 (89.82–90.72) |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 61.52 (61.34–61.71) | 74.76 (74.64–74.89) | 88.58 (88.21–88.97) |
| Percent of Missed Opportunities in Inpatient Settings | |||
| Naïve Approach | 4.37 (4.25–4.48) | 5.67 (5.58–5.76) | 5.03 (4.72–5.31) |
| Dense Delays Approach | 4.26 (4.15–4.37) | 5.64 (5.56–5.73) | 4.89 (4.61–5.17) |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 4.50 (4.40–4.61) | 5.68 (5.60–5.76) | 5.07 (4.81–5.32) |
| Percent of Missed Opportunities in ED Settings | |||
| Naïve Approach | 33.00 (32.78–33.21) | 18.34 (18.21–18.46) | 5.74 (5.40–6.05) |
| Dense Delays Approach | 32.70 (32.47–32.92) | 17.81 (17.67–17.94) | 4.86 (4.52–5.18) |
| Sparse Delays Approach | 33.98 (33.80–34.16) | 19.56 (19.45–19.6) | 6.35 (6.07–6.60) |