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. 2023 Apr;151(4):943–952. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2022.12.810

Table II.

Association of risk factors separately and jointly for incident asthma and COPD

Covariate Asthma
COPD
Univariable
Multivariable
Univariable
Multivariable
HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value
Sex: male 0.71 (0.49-1.03) .07 0.67 (0.46-0.97) .03 2.19 (1.25-3.82) .01 1.35 (0.76-2.4) .31
Baseline age (y) 0.99 (0.98-1.01) .28 1.00 (0.98-1.01) .75 1.07 (1.04-1.1) <.001 1.1 (1.07-1.13) <.001
BMI (kg/m2) 1.02 (0.99-1.06) .22 1.03 (0.99-1.07) .13 1.02 (0.97-1.08) .48 0.99 (0.92-1.06) .8
Smoking (yes) 2.21 (1.53-3.2) <.001 2.06 (1.4-3.03) <.001 8.16 (4.55-14.64) <.001 11.07 (5.81-21.09) <.001
Gut microbiome 1.44 (1.23-1.67) <.001 1.34 (1.15-1.57) <.001 1.39 (1.3-1.49) <.001 1.18 (1.08-1.29) <.001

Gut microbiome score is represented as microbiome-based predictions per SD. All analyses were performed in the validation set.