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. 2023 Apr 18;4(6):e409–e417. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(23)00005-8

Table 2.

SARS-CoV-2 incubation period by variant, observed and corrected for day 5 to day 9

N Observed, days
Correction for days 5 to 9, days
Mean (95% CI) SD Mean (95% credible interval) SD
Historical 7539 4·61 (4·56–4·66) 2·24 4·57 (4·52–4·62) 2·22
Alpha 5133 4·96 (4·90–5·02) 2·32 4·92 (4·85–4·98) 2·31
Beta or gamma 453 5·18 (4·93–5·43) 2·72 5·15 (4·90–5·40) 2·72
Delta 4606 4·43 (4·36–4·49) 2·19 4·40 (4·33–4·46) 2·17
Omicron 2682 3·61 (3·55–3·68) 1·82 3·58 (3·52–3·65) 1·77
Total 20 413 4·54 (4·51–4·57) 2·25 4·50 (4·47–4·53) 2·23

A gamma distribution was fitted to estimate probability of rounding the estimation to 7 days if the underlying incubation period was 6 days or 8 days, or 5 days or 9 days. The included variants are alpha (B.1.1.7), beta (B.1.351), gamma (P.1), delta (B.1.617.2), and omicron (B.1.1.529).