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. 2023 Apr 20;34(2):207–220. doi: 10.1134/S1075700723020065

Table 8.  .

Healthcare development scenarios for the period until 2035

Indicator Current model
(baseline scenario)
Development models
moderately optimistic scenario optimistic scenario
Total healthcare spending, % of GDP 6.2–6.3 9.0–9.1 10.3–10.5
of which:
budget system spending 4.0–4.2 6.0–6.1 6.5–6.7
private spending 2.2 3.0 3.7
Share of investments in fixed capital in healthcare spending, % 7.0–7.2 9.2–9.4 10.5–11.0
Capital to labor ratio, thousand dollars, in 2018 prices per person employed in the sector 38–40 67–70 82–85
People employed, million people 5.2–5.3 5.8–6.0 6.5–6.6
of which:
doctors 0.81 0.92 0.98
midlevel health workers 2.02 2.45 2.72
Ratio of MLHWs to doctors 2.5 2.7 2.8

Source: Calculated by the authors.