Skip to main content
. 2023 Apr 24;3(4):e0001070. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001070

Table 1. Projections of national cases, deaths and admissions needed at select dates.

Table for SA
Cumulative Incidence Active Cases Cumulative Detected
Date Total Symptomatic All Symptomatic Limited Detection
2020-09-01 15,201,000 (13,138,000–17,023,000) 3,697,800 (2,835,700–4,521,500) 462,600 (267,000–817,800) 85,260 (46,810–151,500) 517,000 (372,000–668,300)
2020-10-01 15,840,000 (14,112,000–17,488,000) 3,914,700 (3,172,100–4,688,100) 102,300 (54,020–238,000) 19,320 (9,730–47,560) 557,800 (433,500–700,400)
2020-11-01 15,977,000 (14,415,000–17,581,000) 3,961,300 (3,246,400–4,720,300) 20,840 (10,210–52,710) 3,950 (1,840–10,690) 567,500 (447,800–707,100)
2020-12-01 16,004,000 (14,480,000–17,596,000) 3,970,400 (3,260,300–4,727,800) 4,510 (2,050–11,990) 860 (370–2,500) 569,300 (450,400–708,600)
2021-01-01 16,010,000 (14,499,000–17,599,000) 3,972,000 (3,263,400–4,729,700) 950 (390–2,700) 180 (70–570) 569,800 (451,000–708,900)
2021-02-01 16,011,000 (14,501,000–17,600,000) 3,972,400 (3,264,000–4,730,000) 210 (70–650) 40 (10–140) 569,900 (451,200–709,000)
Cumulative Admissions Hospital Beds in Use Cumulative Deaths
Date General ICU Non-ICU ICU Hospital All
2020-09-01 97,500 (73,290–121,400) 11,940 (9,010–15,060) 3,830 (1,720–8,410) 720 (400–1,090) 14,250 (10,300–17,760) 33,710 (24,020–43,010)
2020-10-01 105,700 (85,730–127,400) 12,950 (10,550–15,860) 950 (360–2,810) 200 (90–430) 15,740 (12,680–19,210) 36,330 (28,640–45,600)
2020-11-01 107,800 (88,740–128,900) 13,190 (10,900–16,110) 190 (70–680) 40 (10–130) 16,170 (13,320–19,510) 37,000 (29,850–46,140)
2020-12-01 108,200 (89,310–129,300) 13,240 (10,970–16,150) 40 (10–160) <10 (<10–40) 16,260 (13,460–19,570) 37,140 (30,120–46,230)
2021-01-01 108,300 (89,420–129,400) 13,250 10,980–16,160) <10 (<10–40) <10 (<10 - <10) 16,290 (13,490–19,580) 37,160 (30,170–46,260)
2021-02-01 108,300 (89,450–129,400) 13,260 (10,980–16,160) <10 (<10 - <10) <10 (<10 - <10) 16,300 (13,500–19,580) 37,170 (30,180–46,260)