Table 1. Total cumulative COVID-19 cases, deaths, hospitalizations averted and hospitalization cost savings.

	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	Scenario 3
	No change in transmission	10% higher transmission	10% lower transmission
Cases averted	8.1 million	17.0 million	-1.6 million
median, (95% CrI)	(-4.8, 26.3 million)	(1.5, 32.0 million)	(-8.8, 18.2 million)
Deaths averted	123.2 thousand	260.1 thousand	-25.1 thousand
median, (95% CrI)	(-74.3, 403.0 thousand)	(23.0, 489.7 thousand)	(-134.8, 278.8 thousand)
Hospitalizations averted	0.7 million	1.5 million	-0.1 million
median, (95% CrI)	(-0.4, 2.3 million)	(0.1, 2.8 million)	(-0.8, 1.6 million)
Hospitalization cost savings	$7.0 billion	$17.3 billion	-$0.9 billion
median, (95% CrI)	($-11.9, 112.0 billion)	($0.9, 170.3 billion)	(-$44.7, 70.1 billion)