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. 2023 Apr 26;22:137. doi: 10.1186/s12936-023-04563-w

Table 2.

Percent change in PfPR in 2025 and 2030 relative to the BAU 2020 projected PfPR

Scenario All age PfPR percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%) U5 PfPR percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%) All age PfPR percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%) U5 PfPR percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%)
1 2.8 (2.4, 3.1) 0.8 (0.2, 1.3) 5.8 (5.5, 6.2) 2.4 (2, 2.7)
2 − 57.4 (− 57, − 57.8) − 73.6 (− 73.4, − 73.8) − 72.1 (− 71.8, − 72.3) − 85.6 (− 85.4, − 85.9)
3 − 29.3 (− 28.8, − 29.8) − 40.8 (− 40.3, − 41.5) − 38.6 (− 38.1, − 38.9) − 54.9 (− 54.8, − 55.2)
4 − 30.0 (− 29.6, − 30.2) − 43.6 (− 43.2, − 44.2) − 39.1 (− 38.7, − 39.4) − 57.9 (− 57.7, − 58.1)

Projected ranges based on five stochastic realizations