Table 3.

Percent change in incidence in 2025 and 2030 relative to the BAU 2020 projected incidence

Scenario	All age incidence percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%)	U5 incidence percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%)	All age incidence percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%)	U5 incidence percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%)
1	4.7 (3.8, 5.3)	0.9 (0.3, 1.5)	8.7 (8.4, 9.1)	3.0 (2.6, 3.3)
2	− 43.9 (− 43.3, − 44.3)	− 56.6 (− 56.2, − 56.8)	− 51.9 (− 51.4, − 52.4)	− 69.3 (− 69, − 69.6)
3	− 21.1 (− 20.6, − 21.8)	− 30 (− 29.4, − 30.5)	− 21.8 (− 21.3, − 22.3)	− 38.2 (− 38, − 38.4)
4	− 22.1 (− 21.6, − 22.6)	− 33.1 (− 32.7, − 33.4)	− 22.8 (− 22.2, − 23.5)	− 42.2 (− 41.8, − 42.6)

Projected ranges based on five stochastic realizations