Fig. 4. Patient-level prediction of time-dependent risk of major adverse cardiovascular events.
Individual prediction of event probability in 4 different patients: (a) A 58-year-old male with no history of CAD, stress TPD of 2%, and diabetes; (b) A 76-year-old male with history of PCI and CABG, stress TPD of 3%, and family history of CAD and dyslipidemia; (c) A 63-year-old male with no history of CAD, stress TPD of 20%, and no other risk factors; (d) A 60-year-old male with no history of CAD, stress TPD of 1% and no risk factors. Curves represent predicted cumulative event probability of death (orange lines), acute coronary syndrome (green lines), and revascularization (blue lines) as a function of time. The vertical dashed lines mark the time of the true event. CABG – coronary artery bypass grafting, CAD coronary artery disease, PCI percutaneous coronary intervention, TPD total perfusion deficit (measure of perfusion abnormality).