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. 2023 Mar 27;12:e82608. doi: 10.7554/eLife.82608

Table 2. Hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) associated with polygenic risk score quintiles (Q) compared to the population median, using the Cox proportional hazards model and censored at 20 years after recruitment.

Individuals were categorised into cancer-specific quintiles based on their cancer-specific polygenic risk score (PRS). All models were adjusted for age at recruitment.

Cancer site – gender Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5
Breast – female
 Number of cases 55 73 86 107 145
 HR (95% CI) 0.61 (0.44–0.86) 0.80 (0.59–1.09) 1.00 (Referent) 1.25 (0.94–1.66) 1.64 (1.26–2.14)
Prostate – male
 Number of cases 15 31 55 59 129
 HR (95% CI) 0.28 (0.16–0.50) 0.57 (0.37–0.88) 1.00 (Referent) 1.11 (0.77–1.60) 2.52 (1.84–3.46)
Colorectal – female
 Number of cases 47 43 53 66 101
 HR (95% CI) 0.84 (0.57–1.25) 0.80 (0.53–1.20) 1.00 (Referent) 1.27 (0.88–1.82) 1.91 (1.37–2.67)
Colorectal – male
 Number of cases 36 70 71 87 114
 HR (95% CI) 0.51 (0.34–0.77) 1.00 (0.72–1.39) 1.00 (Referent) 1.29 (0.94–1.76) 1.67 (1.24–2.25)
Lung – female
 Number of cases 25 26 41 36 40
 HR (95% CI) 0.56 (0.34–0.92) 0.55 (0.34–0.91) 1.00 (Referent) 0.89 (0.57–1.39) 0.95 (0.61–1.47)
Lung – male
 Number of cases 51 58 68 80 103
 HR (95% CI) 0.72 (0.50–1.04) 0.79 (0.56–1.13) 1.00 (Referent) 1.14 (0.82–1.57) 1.46 (1.07–1.98)