Table 10.
MS-GARCH (1,1) model parameter estimation for Japanese hotel stocks and NKY
| ω1 | α1 | β1 | ω2 | α2 | β2 | p11 | p22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FJT | 1.285E−04 | 0.188 | 2.465E−05 | 3.495E−04 | 0.312 | 0.234 | 0.998 | 0.998 |
| IMP | 1.277E−05 | 0.327 | 1.000E−06 | 3.342E−05 | (0.629) | (0.705) | 0.651 | 0.085 |
| RYL | 1.743E−05 | 0.334 | 2.090E−05 | 1.345E−04 | 0.211 | 0.523 | 0.952 | 0.945 |
| KYT | 2.337E−05 | 0.347 | 1.305E−05 | 2.625E−05 | 8.661E−02 | 0.887 | 0.925 | 0.876 |
| OL | 1.313E−04 | 1.261E−06 | 1.003E−05 | 7.263E−06 | 2.564E−02 | 0.974 | 0.908 | 0.795 |
| SB | 1.319E−04 | 5.544E−02 | 1.707E−05 | 1.623E−04 | 7.744E−02 | 0.695 | 0.998 | 0.998 |
| KRT | 2.536E−04 | 1.000E−06 | 1.983E−05 | 3.704E−04 | 0.272 | 0.388 | 0.987 | 0.984 |
| NKY | 7.517E−05 | 0.150 | 6.684E−05 | 5.053E−04 | 0.278 | 0.000 | 0.988 | 0.908 |
Note that the bold numbers and round bracketed ones represent statistical significance compared to the corresponding standard errors and no stationarity, respectively. There are no examples except for RYL where both regimes satisfy stationarity and of which two regimes show GARCH or ARCH effects