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editorial
. 2022 Dec 19;115(5):492–497. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djac232

Table 1.

Probabilitiesa of selecting a lower dose level in a trial design that has a 0.10 probability of selecting the lower dose when its response rate is lower by 20%b

Sample size per arm Difference in response rates between low-dose and high-dose arms
pH = 40% pL = 20% pH = 40% pL = 35% pH = 40% pL = 40%
pLpH = −20% pLpH = −5% pLpH = 0%
20 .10 .35 .46
30 .10 .50 .65
50 .10 .60 .77
100 .10 .83 .95
a

Probabilities are estimated from 106 simulated trials.

b

The lower dose level is selected if the 1-sided lower 90% confidence limit for the difference in response rates is greater than −20%.