31. Withdrawal summary of findings.
Estimates of effects, credible intervals, and certainty of the evidence for withdrawal from studies in people with chronic pain | |||||||
Bayesian network meta‐analysis summary of findings table | |||||||
Patient or population: people with chronic pain Interventions: amitriptyline, desipramine, desvenlafaxine, duloxetine, esreboxetine, milnacipran, mirtazapine, nortriptyline, paroxetine, venlafaxine. All doses were combined for each antidepressant. Comparator (reference): placebo Outcome: withdrawal from the study (for any reason) Direction: lower is better (i.e. fewer people withdrawing from studies) | |||||||
Total studies: 152 Total participants: 28120 |
Relative effect (OR and 95% CI) |
Anticipated absolute effect (event rate)* | Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) |
Ranking** (2.5% to 97.5% credible interval) |
Interpretation of findings | ||
With placebo | With intervention | Difference | |||||
Nortriptyline RCTs: 7 Participants: 612 |
0.54 (0.09 to 1.17) |
101 per 1000 | 57 per 1000 |
44 fewer per 1000 (111 fewer to 15 more) |
Very lowa,b | 13 (5 to 26) |
Not significantly different from placebo |
Mirtazapine RCTs: 3 Participants: 510 |
0.99 (0.34 to 1.64) |
120 per 1000 | 119 per 1000 |
1 fewer per 1000 (76 fewer to 63 more) |
Very lowb,c | 28 (11 to 52) |
Not significantly different from placebo |
Amitriptyline RCTs: 34 Participants: 2126 |
1.12 (0.85 to 1.39) |
138 per 1000 | 152 per 1000 |
14 more per 1000 (18 fewer to 44 more) |
Very lowa,b,c | 31 (20 to 43) |
Not significantly different from placebo |
Duloxetine RCTs: 45 Participants: 10140 |
1.20 (1.06 to 1.34) |
207 per 1000 | 239 per 1000 |
32 more per 1000 (10 more to 52 more) |
Lowa,b | 33 (24 to 43) |
Equivalent to NNTH of 31 |
Desvenlafaxine RCTs: 2 Participants: 1105 |
1.25 (0.82 to 1.68) |
450 per 1000 | 506 per 1000 |
56 more per 1000 (48 fewer to 129 more) |
Very lowa,b,c | 35 (19 to 53) |
Not significantly different from placebo |
Milnacipran RCTs: 17 Participants: 5088 |
1.34 (1.12 to 1.56) |
254 per 1000 | 314 per 1000 |
59 more per 1000 (22 more to 93 more) |
Very lowa,b | 38 (27 to 49) |
Equivalent to NNTH of 17 |
Venlafaxine RCTs: 6 Participants: 624 |
140 (0.91 to 1.89) |
158 per 1000 | 208 per 1000 |
50 more per 1000 (12 fewer to 104 more) |
Very lowa,b,c | 40 (21 to 59) |
Not significantly different from placebo |
Esreboxetine RCTs: 2 Participants: 1389 |
1.42 (1.01 to 1.83) |
251 per 1000 | 322 per 1000 |
71 more per 1000 (2 more to 129 more) |
Very lowa,b,c | 41 (23 to 56) |
Equivalent to NNTH of 31 |
Desipramine RCTs: 4 Participants: 368 |
1.57 (1.02 to 2.12) |
196 per 1000 | 276 per 1000 |
81 more per 1000 (3 more to 145 more) |
Very lowa,b,c | 44 (24 to 61) |
Equivalent to NNTH of 14 |
Paroxetine RCTs: 9 Participants: 568 |
1.68 (1.23 to 2.12) |
173 per 1000 | 260 per 1000 |
87 more per 1000 (32 more to 134 more) |
Very lowa,b | 46 (28 to 60) |
Equivalent to NNTH of 11 |
Network meta‐analysis‐summary of findings table definitions * Anticipated absolute effect. Anticipated absolute effect compares two risks by calculating the difference between the risk of the intervention group with the risk of the control group. ** Mean and credible intervals are presented. Rank statistics is defined as the probabilities that a treatment out of n treatments in a network meta‐analysis is the best, the second, the third and so on until the least effective treatment. CI: confidence interval; NNTH: number needed to treat for an additional harmful outcome; OR: odds ratio; RCT: randomised controlled trial The number of participants for each antidepressant reflects the total number of participants taking the antidepressant or placebo from the studies in the network meta‐analysis. | |||||||
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect. Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different. Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect. Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect. |
aDowngraded due to within‐study bias. bDowngraded due to imprecision in the estimate. cDowngraded due to heterogeneity in the estimate. dDowngraded due to incoherence in the network. eDowngraded due to a small number of trials and participants; we cannot draw reliable conclusions.