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. 2023 Mar 4;50(3):147–172. doi: 10.1007/s10928-023-09850-2

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Deeper understanding of treatment effect and exposure–response patterns through tumor burden dynamics modeling: longitudinal modeling allows for robust, quantitative characterization of data-rich pre- and on-study tumor size information on the importance of understanding pre-baseline tumor size trajectory. This hypothetical example illustrates the concept of variability in the tumor growth trajectory at study start and consequent possibility to declare RECIST progressive disease in a patient likely benefiting more from treatment (e.g. black) than another who would be classified with a more favorable stable disease designation (e.g. green). More precise estimates of treatment effect and dose/exposure–response relationships can be brought through a quantitative understanding of a patient’s entire tumor size trajectory, including available pre-baseline scans