Table 4. Estimated number of deaths that could be averted or delayed if Canadians were to meet the interim mean sodium intake target of 2,300 mg/day (corresponding to 5.75 g of salt/d) due to a systematic reduction of sodium levels in the Canadian food supply (scenario A)–presented by cause of death (95% UI).
| Cause of death (ICD-10 Code) 1 | Total n (95% UI) 2 | % | Men n (95% UI) 2 | % | Women n (95% UI) 2 | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiovascular diseases | 2176 (869, 3687) | 100 | 1302 (508, 2228) | 100 | 865 (331, 1443) | 100 |
| Ischaemic heart diseases (CHD) (I20-25) | 975 (400, 1635) | 44.8 | 659 (263, 1112) | 50.6 | 312 (121, 512) | 36.1 |
| Cerebrovascular diseases (Stroke) (I60-69) | 454 (182, 767) | 20.9 | 244 (97, 417) | 18.7 | 207 (81, 343) | 23.9 |
| Heart failure (I50) | 247 (99, 427) | 11.4 | 129 (50, 227) | 9.9 | 115 (44, 200) | 13.3 |
| Aortic aneurysm (I71) | 59 (23, 105) | 2.7 | 40 (15, 70) | 3.1 | 19 (7, 34) | 2.2 |
| Pulmonary embolism (I26) | 12 (4, 26) | 0.6 | 6 (2, 13) | 0.5 | 6 (2, 12) | 0.7 |
| Rheumatic heart disease (I05-09) | 10 (3, 22) | 0.5 | 4 (1, 9) | 0.3 | 6 (2, 13) | 0.7 |
| Hypertensive disease (I10-15) | 413 (153, 750) | 19.0 | 213 (77, 389) | 16.4 | 197 (71, 348) | 22.8 |
| Total deaths prevented under age 75 | 795 (308, 1371) | 36.5 | 585 (224, 1016) | 44.9 | 205 (78, 343) | 23.7 |
| % of CVD deaths that could have been averted or delayed (reference year: 2019) 3 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | |||
1. WHO, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision [70].
2. 95% UI are based on 10,000 iterations of Monte Carlo analysis.
3. Deaths in Canada (2019) attributable to the CVDs under study = 58,476 (men 30,663; women 27,813).
Note: total deaths averted or delayed represent less than the sum of its components, given that double counting has been accounted for in PRIME during the modelling process.