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. 2023 Apr 28;20(9):5675. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20095675

Table 2.

Predicted time (min (percent of time associated with baseline climate scenario)) to attain a core temperature of 38.0 °C for each location, climate scenario, and work intensity.

Location Work Baseline RCP4.5
2041–2060
RCP4.5
2061–2080
RCP8.5
2041–2060
RCP8.5
2061–2080
CLARE Light NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100)
Moderate NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100)
Heavy NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) NL (100)
PORT MACQUARIE Light NL (100) NL (100) 211 (70) 129 (43) 86 (29)
Moderate NL (100) 216 (72) 154 (51) 103 (34) 72 (24)
Heavy NL (100) 122 (41) 98 (33) 73 (24) 56 (19)
DARWIN Light 46 (100) 40 (87) 38 (83) 37 (80) 35 (76)
Moderate 42 (100) 36 (86) 35 (83) 34 (81) 32 (76)
Heavy 36 (100) 32 (89) 30 (83) 30 (83) 28 (78)
TOM PRICE Light 160 (100) 98 (61) 83 (52) 90 (56) 76 (48)
Moderate 159 (100) 92 (58) 76 (48) 84 (53) 70 (44)
Heavy 104 (100) 65 (63) 58 (56) 58 (56) 51 (49)
TOWNSVILLE Light 73 (100) 57 (78) 55 (75) 54 (74) 47 (64)
Moderate 63 (100) 50 (79) 49 (78) 48 (76) 42 (67)
Heavy 50 (100) 42 (84) 41 (82) 40 (80) 36 (72)
GRIFFITH Light NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) 229 (76) 118 (39)
Moderate NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) 214 (71) 106 (35)
Heavy NL (100) NL (100) NL (100) 174 (58) 83 (28)

NL—no limit (core temperature was not predicted to rise above 38.0 °C within the maximum modelled work duration of 300 min). Values in italics indicate the sweat loss limit was reached within 300 min. Where baseline climate scenarios were associated with no heat stress-induced work duration limit, the maximum potential work duration of 300 min was used to calculate the relative reduction from the baseline climate scenario in work duration for each of the projected climate scenarios.