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. 2023 May 12;14:2750. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-38379-8

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 3 — Median annual incidence of indigenous infections per 10,000 population in the 15th year after the start of interventions. The height of the bar represents the median value across n = 500 simulations per intervention scenario. The error bars represent the 95% prediction interval in the annual incidence. ‘Baseline’ refers to RCD with 35% follow-up of index cases at the index household. a Bar plot showing the final incidence after the implementation of each intervention on its own (n = 500 simulations per scenario). b Bar plot showing the final incidence when, going from left to right, each new intervention is layered on top of the last intervention (n = 500 simulations per scenario). ‘RCD’ stands for reactive case detection. ‘RDA’ stands for reactive drug administration.