Table 3.
Estimated new cancer cases and deaths prevented by the federal menu calorie labelling project in the USA by age, sex and race/ethnicity, over a lifetime*
| Consumer behaviour | Consumer behaviour+Industry response | |||
| N (95% UI) | Per 100 000 individuals (95% UI) | N (95% UI) | Per 100 000 individuals (95% UI) | |
| New cancer cases averted | ||||
| Age | ||||
| 20–44 | 15 700 (6170 to 25 100) | 15.0 (5.89 to 24.0) | 28 000 (18 000 to 37 500) | 26.7 (17.2 to 35.8) |
| 45–54 | 2810 (−2110 to 8030) | 6.61 (−4.97 to 18.9) | 6420 (1390 to 11 600) | 15.1 (3.27 to 27.2) |
| 55–64 | 6330 (3540 to 9400) | 15.7 (8.76 to 23.3) | 8640 (5790 to 11 800) | 21.4 (14.3 to 29.1) |
| ≥65 | 2740 (795 to 4650) | 5.77 (1.68 to 9.80) | 4060 (2070 to 5950) | 8.55 (4.36 to 12.6) |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 15 100 (6650 to 24 000) | 12.5 (5.51 to 19.8) | 25 900 (17 400 to 34 900) | 21.4 (14.4 to 28.9) |
| Male | 12 500 (4920 to 20 100) | 10.9 (4.30 to 17.6) | 21 100 (13 500 to 29 100) | 18.4 (11.8 to 25.4) |
| Race/Ethnicity | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 14 300 (4310 to 24 500) | 9.16 (2.77 to 15.7) | 26 300 (16 000 to 36 700) | 16.9 (10.3 to 23.6) |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 4720 (1820 to 8100) | 16.6 (6.37 to 28.4) | 7630 (4750 to 11 100) | 26.8 (16.7 to 38.9) |
| Hispanic | 7700 (3560 to 11 500) | 21.5 (9.93 to 32.2) | 11 200 (7060 to 15 300) | 31.3 (19.7 to 42.6) |
| Other | 1150 (−240 to 2440) | 7.60 (−1.59 to 16.2) | 1990 (652 to 3310) | 13.2 (4.33 to 22.0) |
| Cancer deaths prevented | ||||
| Age | ||||
| 20–44 | 10 200 (4170 to 16 400) | 9.73 (3.98 to 15.7) | 18 100 (11 700 to 24 500) | 17.3 (11.2 to 23.4) |
| 45–54 | 1730 (−853 to 4240) | 4.07 (−2.01 to 9.97) | 3650 (1040 to 6240) | 8.58 (2.44 to 14.7) |
| 55–64 | 3320 (1760 to 4930) | 8.21 (4.36 to 12.2) | 4480 (2890 to 6090) | 11.1 (7.15 to 15.1) |
| ≥65 | 1200 (285 to 2130) | 2.53 (0.60 to 4.48) | 1800 (848 to 2720) | 3.79 (1.79 to 5.73) |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 7810 (3290 to 12 600) | 6.47 (2.73 to 10.5) | 13 400 (8850 to 18 500) | 11.1 (7.33 to 15.3) |
| Male | 8510 (3500 to 13 900) | 7.44 (3.06 to 12.1) | 14 400 (9300 to 20 000) | 12.6 (8.13 to 17.5) |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 7920 (2180 to 13 900) | 5.08 (1.40 to 8.94) | 14 700 (8770 to 20 900) | 9.45 (5.64 to 13.5) |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 3010 (1000 to 5370) | 10.6 (3.51 to 18.8) | 4990 (2950 to 7380) | 17.5 (10.4 to 25.9) |
| Hispanic | 4960 (2360 to 7560) | 13.8 (6.58 to 21.1) | 7190 (4480 to 9870) | 20.0 (12.5 to 27.5) |
| Other | 565 (−246 to 1350) | 3.75 (−1.63 to 8.97) | 1070 (273 to 1870) | 7.12 (1.81 to 12.4) |
*Values are the median estimates (95% uncertainty intervals) of each distribution of 1000 simulations.