Table 3.
Number of animal daily energy content calculated from foresight diets for both health and sustainable food systems
| Foresight scenarios at horizon 2050 | Animal energy content (%) per day | Environmental outcomes | References |
|---|---|---|---|
| International/European scenarios | |||
| Millennium Institute: scenario 4 | Approximately 16·0 | Food loss and waste, crop production for animal feed | (86) |
| Agrimonde-Terra (INRA-Cirad): ‘healthy’ scenario | Approximately 16·7 | Climate change (GHGE), land use, urbanisation, cropping and livestock systems | (78) |
| EAT-Lancet | Approximately 13·6 | Land system change, biodiversity loss, freshwater use, climate change (GHGE), N and P cycling, food waste | (79) |
| IDDRI: TYFA scenario | Approximately 13·5 | Land use, natural prairies and biodiversity, symbiotic N, extensification of livestock and plant production, abandonment of pesticides, climate change | (85) |
| Regional scenarios | |||
| WWF2050: French scenario | Approximately 25·7 | Land and water use, climate change (GHGE), nitrogen balance, use of fertilisers and phytosanitary products | (80,81) |
| Afterres 2050: French scenario | Approximately 24·3 | Climate change (GHGE), land use, pesticide use, plant proteins, non-food valuations, intensive livestock | (84) |
| Nordic Council of Ministers: Nordic sufficiency scenario | Approximately 17·9 | Local resources, organic farming system, climate changes (GHGE), biodiversity, grazing, food waste, eutrophication, N balance, pesticides | (82) |
| Research Institute of Organic Agriculture FiBL: Swiss FeedNoFood2050 scenario | Approximately 14·7 | Environmental, economic and social performance | (83) |
GHGE, greenhouse gas emission; TYFA, Ten Years for Agroecology; FiBL, Swiss Research Institute of Organic Agriculture.