Table 3.
Multivariate regression proposal models† of change in household food security (FS) and food insecurity (FI) over time considering the change in total household income and conditional cash transfer received; Cuité, Paraíba, Brazil, 2011–2014
| Proposal model | Changed to FS (n 80) | FI at both visits (n 97) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95 % CI | OR | 95 % CI | |
| Change in total household income and adjusted variables‡ | ||||
| Total household income | ||||
| Increased by more than ½ minimum wage§ from baseline | 1·00 | Ref. | 1·00 | Ref. |
| Increased by up to ½ minimum wage from baseline | 0·67 | 0·33, 1·35 | 1·69 | 0·80, 3·53 |
| Same or less at endline than baseline | 1·57 | 0·65, 3·81 | 5·04 | 1·92, 13·28 |
| Change in total cash transfer amount and adjusted variables‖ | ||||
| Total cash transfer amount | ||||
| Non-beneficiary at both visits | 1·00 | Ref. | 1·00 | Ref. |
| Same or more cash at endline than baseline | 0·71 | 0·26, 1·94 | 4·20 | 1·66, 10·58 |
| Lesser cash at endline than baseline | 0·93 | 0·26, 3·32 | 4·77 | 1·40, 16·22 |
| Change in total household income, change in cash transfer amount and adjusted variables¶ | ||||
| Total household income | ||||
| Increased by more than ½ minimum wage from baseline | 1·00 | Ref. | 1·00 | Ref. |
| Increased by up to ½ minimum wage from baseline | 0·70 | 0·34, 1·45 | 2·14 | 0·98, 4·66 |
| Same or less at endline than baseline | 1·70 | 0·67, 4·31 | 6·16 | 2·20, 17·28 |
| Total cash transfer amount | ||||
| Non-beneficiary at both visits | 1·00 | Ref. | 1·00 | Ref. |
| Same or more cash at endline than baseline | 0·46 | 0·16, 1·38 | 1·96 | 0·60, 6·45 |
| Lesser cash at endline than baseline | 0·76 | 0·67, 4·31 | 5·14 | 1·42, 18·61 |
| Change in household income dependency on PBF and adjusted variables†† | ||||
| Household income dependency on PBF | ||||
| Non-dependent at both times | 1·00 | Ref. | 1·00 | Ref. |
| Same or more at endline than baseline | 0·76 | 0·30, 1·96 | 3·92 | 1·36, 11·25 |
| Less at endline than baseline | 1·05 | 0·40, 2·79 | 1·23 | 0·38, 3·95 |
PBF, Bolsa Família (cash transfer programme); Ref., reference category.
Statistically significant associations (P < 0·05) are indicated in bold font.
Adjusted for number of members in household (follow-up), food production for self-consumption at household (change), beneficiary of emergency cash benefits (follow-up) and beneficiary of food assistance programmes (follow-up).
Includes adjusted variables and household income (baseline).
Minimum wage in Brazil in 2014: $US 329·1 (R$ 724 (Brazilian real)).
Includes adjusted variables and cash transfer amount (baseline).
Includes adjusted variables, household income (baseline) and cash transfer amount (baseline).
Includes adjusted variables, household income (baseline) and household income dependency on PBF (baseline).