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. 2023 May 21;329(21):1832–1839. doi: 10.1001/jama.2023.2065

Table 2. Association Between Mucus Plug Score and All-Cause Mortality in Participants With COPD.

No. Mucus plug score (No. of lung segments with mucus plugs)
0 (n = 2585) 1-2 (n = 953) ≥3 (n = 825)
Mortality rate, % (95% CI) 34.0 (32.2-35.8) 46.7 (43.5-49.9) 54.1 (50.7-57.4)
Unadjusted mortality rate difference, % (95% CI) 1-2 vs 0: 12.7 (9.1-16.4) ≥3 vs 0: 20.1 (16.2-24.0)
Model HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value
Unadjusted model 4363 1 [Reference] 1.51 (1.34-1.69) <.001 1.98 (1.76-2.22) <.001
Adjusted modela 4166 1 [Reference] 1.15 (1.02-1.29) .02 1.24 (1.10-1.41) <.001
Plus coronary artery diseaseb 4166 1 [Reference] 1.16 (1.03-1.30) .02 1.26 (1.11-1.43) <.001
Plus chronic bronchitisc 4166 1 [Reference] 1.15 (1.02-1.30) .02 1.25 (1.10-1.42) <.001
Plus current asthmad 4166 1 [Reference] 1.15 (1.02-1.30) .02 1.25 (1.10-1.41) <.001
Plus exacerbations per yeare 3759 1 [Reference] 1.10 (0.96-1.25) .17 1.20 (1.05-1.38) .008
Plus BODE indexf 4060 1 [Reference] 1.14 (1.01-1.29) .03 1.21 (1.06-1.37) .004

Abbreviations: BODE, body mass index, obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise mortality risk score; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HR, hazard ratio.

a

Estimates are from multivariable Cox models. Adjustment included age (continuous), sex (reference: female), race and ethnicity (reference: non-Hispanic Black), body mass index (BMI, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared; continuous), pack-years of smoking (continuous), current smoking status (reference: former), postbronchodilator forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration (FEV1; continuous), and computed tomography measures of emphysema (measured as percentage of voxels <−950 Hounsfield units; continuous) and airway wall thickness (measured as the square root of the wall area of an ideal 10-mm-inner-perimeter airway; continuous).

b

Adjusted HRs included all variables from the adjusted model plus adjustment for coronary artery disease (reference: absence of coronary artery disease).

c

Adjusted HRs included all variables from the adjusted model plus adjustment for coronary artery disease and chronic bronchitis (reference: absence of chronic bronchitis).

d

Adjusted HRs included all variables from the adjusted model plus adjustment for coronary artery disease, chronic bronchitis, and history of current asthma (reference: absence of current asthma).

e

Adjusted HRs included all variables from the adjusted model plus adjustment for coronary artery disease, chronic bronchitis, history of current asthma, and the number of exacerbations per year (continuous).

f

Adjusted HRs included all variables from the adjusted model except FEV1 and BMI plus adjustment for the BODE index (continuous).