TABLE 1.

Coefficient estimates and hazard ratio estimates of heart failure incidence equation

Risk group	Variable	Hazard (95% CI)	Coefficiena (95% CI)
Socio-demographic	Age at T2DM diagnosed
	18–45
	45–65	2.026 (1.460–2.810)	0.706 (0.379–1.033)
	>65	4.940 (2.926–8.334)	1.597 (1.074–2.120)
	College education	0.520 (0.379–0.714)	−0.654 (−0.972–0.336)
Metabolic syndrome	HbA1c (%)	1.072 (0.953–1.205)	0.069 (−0.049–9.187)
	SBP (mmHg)
	<120
	120–140	1.139 (0.823–1.577)	0.130 (−0.195–0.455)
	>140	1.751 (1.233–2.486)	0.560 (0.209–0.911)
	BMI (kg/m2)	1.045 (1.025–1.066)	0.044 (0.024–0.064)
	HDL (mg/dl)	0.978 (0.967–0.990)	−0.022 (−0.034–0.010)
Diabetes complications	MI history	1.677 (1.287–2.185)	0.517 (0.252–0.782)
	Revascularization history	1.915 (1.482–2.476)	0.650 (0.393–0.907)
	Cardiovascular medications	1.758 (1.305–2.368)	0.564 (0.266–0.862)
	Hypertension duration	1.012 (1.002–1.022)	0.012 (0.002–0.022)
	Nerve problems history	1.452 (1.123–1.877)	0.373 (0.116–0.630)
	Albuminuria history	1.635 (1.290–2.073)	0.492 (0.255–0.729)
	log(UACR)	1.232 (1.155–1.315)	0.209 (0.144–0.274)
	ESKD	1.934 (1.118–3.349)	0.015 (0.111–1.209)
Health care utilization	Hospitalization this year ER room visit	1.953 (1.304–2.923)	0.669 (0.265–1.073)
	0
	1	1.122 (0.720–1.747)	0.115 (−0.328–0.558)
	≥2	2.234 (1.246–4.007)	0.804 (0.220–1.388)
Log(scale)			6.31
Log(shape)			0.567
Brier score: training			0.0064
C-statistics: training			0.838 (0.821–0.855)
Brier score: validation			0.0060
C-statistics: validation			0.821 (0.775–0.866)
Event			299

log(HR) = Coefficient.

^aexp(coefficient) = HR.

BMI, body mass index; ESKD, end stage kidney disease; Hb1Ac, glycated haemoglobin; HDL, high-density lipoproteins; HR, hazard ratio; MI, myocardial infarction; SBP, systolic blood pressure; T2DM, type 2 diabetes; UACR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio.