TABLE 2.
Original data |
Data with induced heterogeneity |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month | Model 1 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Truth | Model 1 | Model 4 | Model 5 |
Average (Δ) | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.39 (0.25) | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.19 | 0.86 (0.09) | 1.49 (0.24) | 1.13 (0.21) |
1 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.20 (0.15) | 1.19 (0.11) | 0.82 | 0.86 (0.09) | 0.88 (0.11) | 0.85 (0.11) |
2 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.21 (0.18) | 1.19 (0.14) | 0.92 | 0.86 (0.09) | 0.93 (0.12) | 0.85 (0.11) |
3 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.28 (0.22) | 1.19 (0.13) | 1.03 | 0.86 (0.09) | 1.24 (0.20) | 1.07 (0.18) |
4 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.53 (0.35) | 1.19 (0.18) | 1.06 | 0.86 (0.09) | 1.24 (0.24) | 1.01 (0.18) |
5 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.45 (0.34) | 1.19 (0.14) | 1.20 | 0.86 (0.09) | 1.68 (0.39) | 1.26 (0.34) |
6 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.24 (0.35) | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.80 | 0.86 (0.09) | 2.32 (0.63) | 1.52 (0.46) |
7 | 1.19 (0.12) | 1.95 (1.14) | 1.19 (0.18) | 1.91 | 0.86 (0.09) | 3.32 (1.70) | 1.56 (0.75) |