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. 2023 May 9;11:1173673. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1173673

Table 1.

Per capita Canadian deaths (per 100,000 people) attributed to World War I, II, and the 1918 influenza pandemic compared to the counterfactual modelling scenario “no public health measures or vaccination” of Ogden et al. (5).

Event Deaths (People) Period Population (mid-Period) Death Rate
(per 100,000)*
Refs.
World War I 60,000 1914–1918 8,001,000 750 39,40
1918 influenza pandemic 50,000 1918–1920 8,311,000 602 39,40
World War II 44,090 1939–1947 11,795,000 374 39,41
Ogden et al. (5) counterfactual 800,000 2020–2022 N/A# 2,034
(1,938–2,115)
5

*Death Rate = (Deaths / Population) × 100,000;Upper limit of mortality count for the “no public health measures or vaccination” scenario taken from Table 1 in Ogden et al. (5); #Ogden et al. do not provide an estimate of the Canadian population in their article;Median (95th percentiles) per capita death rate for 100 model realisations taken from Table 3 in Ogden et al. (5).