Table 4.
Correlates of behavioral transitions in cigarette use over Waves 3–5, PATH Study.
| Characteristics | Cigarette use transitions |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initiation (n = 11,845) |
Relapse (n = 15,156) |
Progression (n = 4632) |
Cessation (n = 16,147) |
|||||
| Crude n/number at risk (Wt%)a | Adjusted OR | Crude n/number at risk (Wt%)a | Adjusted OR | Crude n/number at risk (Wt%)a | Adjusted OR | Crude n/number at risk (Wt%)a | Adjusted OR | |
| Overall | 468 (1.6) | ─ | 1472 (4.8) | ─ | 1062 (21.1) | ─ | 2241 (14.0) | ─ |
| Age group | ||||||||
| 18–24 | 415 (6.0) | Ref | 513 (15.3) | Ref | 320 (19.9) | Ref | 688 (24.4) | Ref |
| 25–44 | 53 (0.7) | 0.17 (0.11–0.26) | 634 (7.7) | 0.63 (0.50–0.78) | 430 (19.6) | 0.97 (0.69–1.37) | 954 (14.6) | 0.56 (0.45–0.69) |
| 45–64 | d | d | 265 (3.0) | 0.28 (0.21–0.36) | 261 (21.3) | 0.89 (0.60–1.31) | 458 (9.7) | 0.45 (0.36–0.57) |
| 65+ | d | d | 60 (1.0) | 0.08 (0.05–0.12) | 51 (20.0) | 0.64 (0.33–1.25) | 141 (15.3) | 0.79 (0.58–1.08) |
| Sex | ||||||||
| Female | 202 (1.2) | Ref | 730 (4.6) | Ref | 527 (23.1) | Ref | 1054 (13.6) | Ref |
| Male | 266 (2.3) | 1.74 (1.17–2.58) | 742 (5.0) | 0.89 (0.73–1.08) | 535 (19.6) | 0.84 (0.64–1.11) | 1187 (14.4) | 1.04 (0.88–1.23) |
| Sexual Orientation | ||||||||
| Straight | 405 (1.5) | Ref | 1273 (4.5) | Ref | 893 (20.8) | Ref | 1965 (14.0) | Ref |
| LGB | 58 (4.3) | 1.38 (0.82–2.33) | 187 (10.0) | 1.13 (0.82–1.55) | 153 (24.0) | 1.10 (0.69–1.76) | 248 (15.0) | 0.80 (0.60–1.07) |
| Not reported | 5 (1.2) | 2.76 (0.94–8.06) | 12 (4.9) | 1.29 (0.45–3.70) | 16 (16.7) | 0.63 (0.15–2.60) | 28 (11.8) | 1.03 (0.49–2.19) |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
| Non-Hispanic white | 219 (1.3) | Ref | 816 (3.9) | Ref | 557 (23.5) | Ref | 1291 (13.5) | Ref |
| Non-Hispanic black | 68 (1.5) | 1.09 (0.68–1.75) | 204 (7.8) | 1.29 (0.97–1.72) | 211 (21.1) | 0.72 (0.48–1.08) | 312 (11.0) | 0.68 (0.53–0.87) |
| Hispanic | 133 (2.3) | 1.58 (1.03–2.42) | 343 (7.8) | 1.05 (0.81–1.36) | 206 (16.2) | 0.51 (0.36–0.74) | 473 (19.0) | 1.05 (0.83–1.33) |
| Other races | 48 (2.1) | 1.73 (0.74–4.06) | 109 (5.1) | 0.99 (0.67–1.44) | 88 (19.8) | 0.70 (0.39–1.27) | 165 (17.2) | 1.01 (0.74–1.40) |
| Educational | ||||||||
| Less than high school | 59 (2.2) | Ref | 307 (7.7) | Ref | 314 (26.6) | Ref | 493 (10.8) | Ref |
| High school graduate | 148 (1.7) | 0.61 (0.32–1.14) | 338 (5.8) | 0.77 (0.58–1.03) | 279 (21.7) | 0.69 (0.46–1.02) | 514 (11.1) | 0.91 (0.72–1.14) |
| Some college | 227 (2.2) | 0.67 (0.36–1.25) | 579 (5.3) | 0.59 (0.46–0.76) | 360 (21.0) | 0.63 (0.43–0.92) | 863 (16.0) | 1.28 (1.04–1.57) |
| Bachelor’s degree or more | 33 (0.8) | 0.50 (0.20–1.23) | 241 (2.7) | 0.49 (0.36–0.67) | 104 (13.5) | 0.45 (0.27–0.75) | 360 (23.9) | 1.92 (1.47–2.51) |
| Income | ||||||||
| Less than $25,000 | 187 (2.5) | Ref | 581 (8.2) | Ref | 539 (24.5) | Ref | 921 (11.7) | Ref |
| $25,000–$49,999 | 85 (1.6) | 0.77 (0.43–1.37) | 343 (5.4) | 1.04 (0.60–1.81) | 237 (22.4) | 0.89 (0.48–1.66) | 491 (13.2) | 1.03 (0.83–1.29) |
| $50,000–$99,999 | 70 (0.8) | 0.40 (0.24–0.66) | 310 (4.2) | 0.86 (0.50–1.49) | 160 (18.1) | 0.74 (0.38–1.43) | 453 (16.0) | 1.05 (0.84–1.31) |
| $100,000 or more | 87 (1.5) | 0.86 (0.49–1.48) | 176 (2.4) | 0.53 (0.30–0.93) | 77 (14.9) | 0.68 (0.33–1.41) | 260 (24.5) | 1.57 (1.17–2.10) |
| Not reported | 57 (1.2) | 0.73 (0.39–1.35) | 62 (3.6) | 0.66 (0.38–1.14) | 49 (16.8) | 0.92 (0.49–1.72) | 116 (14.2) | 1.19 (0.80–1.77) |
| Internalizing symptoms | ||||||||
| No | 286 (1.3) | Ref | 867 (4.0) | Ref | 607 (20.2) | Ref | 1321 (13.9) | Ref |
| Yes | 182 (2.7) | 1.26 (0.91–1.74) | 603 (6.8) | 1.15 (0.95–1.39) | 452 (22.7) | 0.94 (0.71–1.24) | 913 (14.3) | 1.01 (0.86–1.19) |
| Externalizing symptoms | ||||||||
| No | 438 (1.5) | Ref | 1362 (4.6) | Ref | 986 (21.0) | Ref | 2049 (13.9) | Ref |
| Yes | 30 (6.0) | 1.95 (1.04–3.65) | 107 (8.7) | 0.93 (0.65–1.33) | 73 (22.1) | 0.93 (0.54–1.58) | 187 (16.2) | 1.38 (1.01–1.90) |
| Current use of ENDS | ||||||||
| No | 445 (1.5) | Ref | 1261 (4.3) | Ref | 853 (20.1) | Ref | 1913 (13.6) | Ref |
| Yes | 23 (23.6) | 5.47 (1.75–17.14) | 210 (17.9) | 2.67 (1.96–3.65) | 203 (27.5) | 0.91 (0.61–1.34) | 326 (17.9) | 1.27 (1.02–1.59) |
| Current other tobacco use | ||||||||
| No | 437 (1.5) | Ref | 1261 (4.2) | Ref | 847 (21.4) | Ref | 1821 (13.5) | Ref |
| Yes | 31 (5.3) | 2.29 (1.04–5.01) | 211 (10.2) | 1.79 (1.34–2.41) | 215 (19.8) | 0.49 (0.33–0.71) | 420 (17.7) | 1.54 (1.25–1.90) |
| Past 12-month cannabis useb | ||||||||
| No | 291 (1.2) | Ref | 892 (3.6) | Ref | 623 (21.5) | Ref | 1312 (13.4) | Ref |
| Yes | 85 (6.3) | 2.14 (1.50–3.06) | 229 (7.9) | 1.74 (1.39–2.19) | 151 (20.8) | 0.94 (0.68–1.31) | 314 (13.3) | 0.88 (0.73–1.07) |
| Nicotine harm perception | ||||||||
| None or little harm | 111 (3.3) | Ref | 437 (8.9) | Ref | 410 (22.7) | Ref | 768 (12.6) | Ref |
| Very harmful | 357 (1.4) | 0.95 (0.58–1.56) | 1027 (3.9) | 0.75 (0.56–1.01) | 645 (20.4) | 0.81 (0.58–1.12) | 1461 (14.8) | 1.22 (0.99–1.51) |
| Cigarette absolute harm perception | ||||||||
| None or little harm | 39 (3.7) | Ref | 218 (11.3) | Ref | 296 (22.0) | Ref | 547 (11.0) | Ref |
| Very harmful | 429 (1.5) | 0.67 (0.37–1.22) | 1245 (4.4) | 0.67 (0.50–0.91) | 763 (21.0) | 0.80 (0.58–1.11) | 1687 (15.3) | 1.47 (1.18–1.83) |
| Comparative harm perception | ||||||||
| Less harmful | 165 (2.9) | Ref | 493 (5.6) | Ref | 293 (20.4) | Ref | 667 (15.8) | Ref |
| Equally or more harmful | 303 (1.3) | 0.75 (0.45–1.24) | 969 (4.4) | 1.05 (0.85–1.30) | 750 (21.4) | 0.96 (0.70–1.30) | 1545 (13.5) | 0.95 (0.79–1.14) |
| Cigarette nicotine dependencec | ─ | ─ | ─ | ─ | 29.5 (1.0)c | 1.03 (1.02–1.03) | 29.4 (0.8)c | 0.98 (0.97–0.98) |
W = wave, Wt% = weighted percentage, CI = confidence interval, LGB = Lesbian, Gay, bisexual, or something else, ENDS = electronic nicotine delivery system, Ref = reference.
All analyses were weighted using PATH Wave 5 all-wave weights.
Unweighted n and weighted row percentages.
Missing for cannabis use was >5% within transition outcomes.
Nicotine dependence shows the weighted mean and standard error among individuals who progressed or discontinued using ENDS.
No observation was in this category or the model did not converge. Bold-faced indicates p < 0.05.