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. 2023 May 24;2023(5):CD015201. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD015201

Gao 2021.

Study characteristics
Notes English title
Associations between body‐mass index and COVID‐19 severity in 6·9 million people in England: a prospective, community‐based, cohort study
Study setting
Start of study recruitment (MM/YYYY)
01/2020
End of study recruitment (MM/YYYY)
04/2020
Study design
prospective cohort
Study centre(s)
multiple centres/clinics/areas within a country
Number of centres/clinics/areas
NR
Study setting
outpatient
Number of participants recruited
6,910,695
Sampling method
unspecified
Participants
Female participants
(percentage), 53.1
Age measure, value
(reported in categories)
20 to 39 years: 2,384,223 (34.5%)
40 to 59 years: 2,444,011 (35.4%)
60 to 79 years: 1,652,615 (23.9%)
>= 80 years: 429,846 (6.2%)
Inclusion criteria
aged 20–99 years who were registered at a general practice (GP) that contributes to the QResearch database and had available BMI data.
Exclusion criteria
Participants without at least one BMI measurement
Smoking
(percentage), 17.1
Diabetes
(percentage), 8.4
Hypertension
(percentage), 19.7
Cardiovascular diseases
(percentage), 6
Please indicate if additional information is available 
NR
Asthma
(unspecified)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
(unspecified)
Other pulmonary diseases
(percentage), 16.1
Please indicate if additional information is available 
COPD and asthma
Immunosuppression
(unspecified)
Please indicate if additional information is available
NR
Chronic kidney disease
(percentage), 4.7
Cancer
(unspecified)
Steroid administration
(unspecified)
Supplemental oxygen
(unspecified)
Differential values for various oxygenation methods (if indicated)
NR
Other treatment
NR
Dose if applicable
NR
Duration if applicable
NR
Percentage received this treatment
NR
Prognostic factor(s)
Study’s definition for obesity
Obesity l: BMI = 30‐34.9, obesity ll/lll = +35
The time when obesity has been measured
before disease or right at presentation
Main variable used for determination of obesity
BMI
Threshold used for definition of obesity 
BMI ≥ 30
Measure of frequency
absolute number
Frequency value
1,681,112
How many eligible outcomes reported?
3
How many eligible outcomes reported?
3
Outcome(s)
hospitalisation, ICU admission, mortality
Outcome (prognostic factor)
hospitalisation (BMI)
Outcome
hospitalisation
Prognostic factor (category): 
BMI
Follow‐up
Number of patients followed completely for this outcome 
6,910,695
Number of obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
1,681,112
Number of non‐obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
5,229,583
Univariable (unadjusted) analysis for obesity
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.05 (1.05, 1.06)
Multivariable (adjusted) analysis for obesity
Modelling method
Cox regression
The set of prognostic factors used for adjustment
Age, sex, ethnicity, economic status, geographical region, smoking status, non‐obesity‐related morbidity, including conditions related to severe COVID‐19 disease (namely, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, autoimmune diseases [systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid diseases], ulcerative colitis or Crohn’s disease, type 1 diabetes, chronic liver disease, chronic renal disease, chronic neurological disease, and cerebral palsy); obesity‐related morbidity, including hypertension, cardiovascular disease (including congestive heart failure and stroke), reflux disease or gastro‐oesophageal reflux disease, and sleep apnoea; and type 2 diabetes
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.04 (1.04, 1.05)
Outcome (prognostic factor)
ICU admission (BMI)
Outcome
ICU admission
Prognostic factor (category): 
BMI
Follow‐up
Number of  patients followed completely for this outcome 
6,910,695
Number of obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
1,681,112
Number of non‐obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
5,229,583
Univariable (unadjusted) analysis for obesity
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.1 (1.09, 1.11)
Multivariable (adjusted) analysis for obesity
Modelling method
Cox regression
The set of prognostic factors used for adjustment
Age, sex, ethnicity, economic status, geographical region, smoking status, non‐obesity‐related morbidity, including conditions related to severe COVID‐19 disease (namely, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, autoimmune diseases [systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid diseases], ulcerative colitis or Crohn’s disease, type 1 diabetes, chronic liver disease, chronic renal disease, chronic neurological disease, and cerebral palsy); obesity‐related morbidity, including hypertension, cardiovascular disease (including congestive heart failure and stroke), reflux disease or gastro‐oesophageal reflux disease, and sleep apnoea; and type 2 diabetes
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.09 (1.08, 1.1)
Outcome (prognostic factor)
mortality (BMI)
Outcome
mortality
Prognostic factor (category): 
BMI
Follow‐up
Number of patients followed completely for this outcome 
6,910,695
Number of obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
1,681,112
Number of non‐obese patients followed completely for this outcome 
5,229,583
Univariable (unadjusted) analysis for obesity
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.03 (1.03, 1.02)
Multivariable (adjusted) analysis for obesity
Modelling method
Cox regression
The set of prognostic factors used for adjustment
Age, sex, ethnicity, economic status, geographical region, smoking status, non‐obesity‐related morbidity, including conditions related to severe COVID‐19 disease (namely, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, autoimmune diseases [systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid diseases], ulcerative colitis or Crohn’s disease, type 1 diabetes, chronic liver disease, chronic renal disease, chronic neurological disease, and cerebral palsy); obesity‐related morbidity, including hypertension, cardiovascular disease (including congestive heart failure and stroke), reflux disease or gastro‐oesophageal reflux disease, and sleep apnoea; and type 2 diabetes
Effect measure for obesity
hazard ratio
Effect measure value (95% CI)
1.04 (1.04, 1.05)
 
Item Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Study Participation Unclear Appendix 3
Study Attrition
Mortality Yes Appendix 3
Study Attrition
ICU admission Yes Appendix 3
Study Attrition
Hospitalisation Yes Appendix 3
Prognostic Factor Measurement Yes Appendix 3
Outcome Measurement
Mortality Yes Appendix 3
Outcome Measurement
ICU admission Yes Appendix 3
Outcome Measurement
Hospitalisation Yes Appendix 3
Confounding Bias
Mortality Yes Appendix 3
Confounding Bias
ICU admission Yes Appendix 3
Confounding Bias
Hospitalisation Yes Appendix 3
Statistical Analysis Bias Yes Appendix 3