Table 6.
Coverage probabilities of the circular block bootstrap change point 95% confidence intervals for the case with the same mean function across units and a change solely in the mean functions.Note, for all i, in this scenario.
| Coverage Probabilities for Change Point Confidence Intervals | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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| n = 60 | n = 120 | |||||||||
|
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| Δ | Parameter | Truth | Units: 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | Units: 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| −0.7 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.577 | 0.761 | 0.845 | 0.921 | 0.666 | 0.848 | 0.918 | 0.953 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.161 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.998 | 0.997 | 0.999 | 0.997 | 0.997 | 0.995 | 0.997 | 0.999 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.993 | 0.999 | 0.997 | 1 | 0.992 | 0.985 | 0.988 | 0.976 | |
| Δ | −0.7 | 0.996 | 1 | 0.999 | 1 | 0.997 | 1 | 0.999 | 1 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.959 | 0.965 | 0.967 | 0.957 | 0.979 | 0.99 | 0.986 | 0.978 | |
|
| ||||||||||
| −0.5 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.499 | 0.609 | 0.702 | 0.833 | 0.554 | 0.756 | 0.828 | 0.913 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.159 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.992 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 1 | 0.992 | 0.997 | 0.998 | 0.999 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.995 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 1 | 0.993 | 0.99 | 0.992 | 0.995 | |
| Δ | −0.5 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 1 | 1 | 0.998 | 1 | 0.997 | 1 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.936 | 0.949 | 0.918 | 0.847 | 0.961 | 0.968 | 0.961 | 0.925 | |
|
| ||||||||||
| −0.2 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.408 | 0.454 | 0.533 | 0.561 | 0.41 | 0.478 | 0.569 | 0.669 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.146 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.998 | 1 | 0.991 | 0.998 | 1 | 1 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.994 | 0.994 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.983 | 0.991 | 0.996 | 0.992 | |
| Δ | −0.2 | 0.996 | 0.998 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.992 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 1 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.903 | 0.869 | 0.848 | 0.695 | 0.912 | 0.907 | 0.854 | 0.719 | |
|
| ||||||||||
| 0.2 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.432 | 0.465 | 0.53 | 0.584 | 0.442 | 0.521 | 0.584 | 0.672 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.177 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.99 | 0.992 | 0.992 | 0.993 | 0.994 | 0.994 | 0.991 | 0.99 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.991 | 0.995 | 0.994 | 0.997 | 0.981 | 0.993 | 0.993 | 0.998 | |
| Δ | 0.2 | 0.987 | 0.994 | 0.996 | 0.999 | 0.993 | 0.997 | 0.998 | 1 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.877 | 0.83 | 0.786 | 0.645 | 0.894 | 0.86 | 0.803 | 0.653 | |
|
| ||||||||||
| 0.5 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.511 | 0.662 | 0.761 | 0.883 | 0.61 | 0.786 | 0.824 | 0.928 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.267 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.982 | 0.981 | 0.987 | 0.981 | 0.98 | 0.973 | 0.966 | 0.971 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.987 | 0.993 | 0.994 | 0.99 | 0.979 | 0.976 | 0.985 | 0.959 | |
| Δ | 0.5 | 0.986 | 0.991 | 0.989 | 0.994 | 0.989 | 0.991 | 0.988 | 0.988 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.916 | 0.883 | 0.845 | 0.714 | 0.928 | 0.904 | 0.858 | 0.742 | |
|
| ||||||||||
| 0.7 | τ | 31 if n = 60 61 if n = 120 |
0.634 | 0.778 | 0.864 | 0.957 | 0.694 | 0.855 | 0.911 | 0.958 |
| β 0 | 2 | 0.315 | 0.019 | 0 | 0 | 0.032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| β 1 | −0.2 | 0.985 | 0.974 | 0.968 | 0.973 | 0.971 | 0.962 | 0.966 | 0.96 | |
| δ | 0 | 0.99 | 0.991 | 0.991 | 0.98 | 0.973 | 0.971 | 0.958 | 0.849 | |
| Δ | 0.7 | 0.99 | 0.986 | 0.978 | 0.982 | 0.977 | 0.971 | 0.983 | 0.975 | |
| ρ | 0.1 | 0.922 | 0.915 | 0.9 | 0.794 | 0.942 | 0.946 | 0.928 | 0.878 | |